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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.78+7.48vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.61+4.86vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.75+4.83vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.81+7.86vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+4.74vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.89+6.51vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.90-0.17vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.38+0.14vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.23+1.33vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-1.15vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.48-3.81vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.92-1.37vs Predicted
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13Florida State University1.95-1.40vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College2.51-5.96vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara2.04-7.03vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin1.36-3.25vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan1.12-4.09vs Predicted
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18Boston College2.20-9.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.48University of Rhode Island2.786.5%1st Place
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6.86Stanford University2.6110.5%1st Place
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7.83Georgetown University2.757.3%1st Place
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11.86Old Dominion University1.812.9%1st Place
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9.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.164.9%1st Place
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12.51Fordham University1.892.2%1st Place
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6.83Dartmouth College2.909.4%1st Place
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8.14Bowdoin College2.387.3%1st Place
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10.33College of Charleston2.234.3%1st Place
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8.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.7%1st Place
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7.19Harvard University2.488.1%1st Place
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10.63Connecticut College1.923.2%1st Place
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11.6Florida State University1.953.1%1st Place
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8.04SUNY Maritime College2.516.8%1st Place
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7.97University of California at Santa Barbara2.047.0%1st Place
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12.75University of Wisconsin1.362.4%1st Place
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12.91University of Michigan1.122.3%1st Place
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8.49Boston College2.206.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 10.5% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Mariner Fagan | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Noyl Odom | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.9% |
| Will Murray | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 13.5% | 16.4% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Hall | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Brandon Geller | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.2% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.6% |
| Benton Amthor | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% |
| Chris Kayda | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Reed Weston | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 18.1% |
| Joe Serpa | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 19.4% |
| Michael Kirkman | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.