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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.91+5.17vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.17+7.23vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.21+6.14vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.05+5.73vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+4.05vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan3.02+3.73vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.51+0.78vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.00+2.19vs Predicted
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9Washington College1.81+5.46vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.80-3.62vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.72+0.20vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.90-1.27vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.54-1.26vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.44-5.88vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.89-4.66vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.97-6.06vs Predicted
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17Harvard University3.10-7.56vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College2.96-8.02vs Predicted
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19Cornell University1.03-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.17Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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9.23University of South Florida3.170.1%1st Place
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9.14Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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9.73Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
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9.73University of Michigan3.020.1%1st Place
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7.78University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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10.19Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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14.46Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
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6.38Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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11.2University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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10.73Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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11.74Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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8.12U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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10.34Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
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9.94Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
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9.44Harvard University3.100.0%1st Place
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9.98Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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16.62Cornell University1.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Bowman | 11.8% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Connor Brady | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| David Liebenberg | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Drew Shea | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| David Larson | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Ryan Seago | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| OJ O'Connell | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Fraser | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 1.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 19.6% | 21.5% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 10.0% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Cushing | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 3.5% |
| Peter Edmunds | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 1.6% |
| Robert Lippincott | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 4.1% |
| Michael Popp | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Tony Collins | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 2.7% |
| Christopher Price | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% |
| Jason Michas | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 1.5% |
| Robert Suriani | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 13.9% | 52.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.