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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.73+4.91vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.46+5.90vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.12+6.87vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.79+5.92vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+3.10vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute1.73+3.43vs Predicted
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7University of Miami2.32+1.98vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.85-0.77vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy1.89+1.53vs Predicted
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10Palm Beach Atlantic University1.26+2.65vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.45-2.94vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania1.59-1.34vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University1.78-2.42vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University-1.38-2.17vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.54-2.45vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65-8.27vs Predicted
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17George Washington University1.82-6.13vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.38-9.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.91Yale University2.7311.1%1st Place
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7.9Tulane University2.467.6%1st Place
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9.87Tufts University2.126.0%1st Place
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9.92Boston University1.794.2%1st Place
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8.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.6%1st Place
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9.43Webb Institute1.734.9%1st Place
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8.98University of Miami2.325.4%1st Place
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7.23Brown University2.858.7%1st Place
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10.53U. S. Naval Academy1.894.5%1st Place
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12.65Palm Beach Atlantic University1.262.3%1st Place
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8.06Roger Williams University2.457.4%1st Place
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10.66University of Pennsylvania1.593.8%1st Place
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10.58North Carolina State University1.784.8%1st Place
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11.83Jacksonville University-1.383.2%1st Place
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12.55University of South Florida1.542.7%1st Place
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7.73St. Mary's College of Maryland2.657.0%1st Place
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10.87George Washington University1.822.9%1st Place
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8.2Cornell University2.386.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 11.1% | 13.3% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Giblin | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Trevor Davis | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Rayne Duff | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.7% |
| Atlee Kohl | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Cooper Walshe | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% |
| Thomas Green | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 20.9% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.6% |
| Adam Larson | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% |
| Emily Allen | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 12.6% |
| Eden Nykamp | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 18.5% |
| Leo Boucher | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% |
| Tyler Wood | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% |
| Bridget Green | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.