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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.21+8.00vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.91+4.19vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+5.87vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.05+5.73vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.51+3.00vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.17+3.10vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.44+1.03vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan3.02+2.07vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.96+0.87vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.54+1.90vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.89-0.59vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.00-1.71vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.90-2.85vs Predicted
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14Washington College1.81+0.90vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.80-8.48vs Predicted
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16Cornell University1.03+0.79vs Predicted
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17Harvard University3.10-7.56vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.72-6.95vs Predicted
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19Dartmouth College2.97-9.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.0Tufts University3.210.0%1st Place
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6.19Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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8.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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9.73Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
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8.0University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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9.1University of South Florida3.170.1%1st Place
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8.03U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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10.07University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
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9.87Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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11.9Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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10.41Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
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10.29Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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10.15Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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14.9Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
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6.52Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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16.79Cornell University1.030.0%1st Place
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9.44Harvard University3.100.0%1st Place
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11.05University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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9.69Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Liebenberg | 4.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| William Bowman | 13.6% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| David Larson | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Drew Shea | 4.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| OJ O'Connell | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Connor Brady | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Michael Popp | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Seago | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 1.3% |
| Robert Lippincott | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 5.3% |
| Tony Collins | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 2.1% |
| Cameron Fraser | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| Peter Edmunds | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 22.4% | 21.1% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 11.6% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Robert Suriani | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 14.7% | 54.5% |
| Jason Michas | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Samuel Cushing | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 4.0% |
| Christopher Price | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.