Race 1A

charleston-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Allison Blecher 20.7% 19.1% 15.1% 13.7% 13.8% 8.8% 4.4% 3.0% 0.8% 0.6% 0.0%
Cara Vavolotis 9.6% 10.2% 10.9% 11.4% 11.6% 12.8% 10.3% 10.5% 8.3% 3.8% 0.6%
Shannon Heausler 9.3% 7.8% 10.5% 11.5% 10.5% 11.1% 13.6% 11.4% 8.8% 5.0% 0.5%
Stephanie Roble 8.7% 8.5% 9.7% 10.6% 10.4% 13.5% 11.5% 12.8% 9.2% 4.6% 0.5%
Christina Pryne 7.5% 8.4% 7.8% 10.1% 8.6% 10.9% 11.6% 11.6% 14.0% 8.5% 1.0%
Claire Dennis 6.4% 7.8% 8.3% 9.3% 11.5% 10.7% 11.5% 11.2% 12.2% 9.6% 1.5%
Megan Magill 10.9% 10.9% 11.3% 10.9% 11.0% 11.0% 11.4% 10.7% 7.0% 4.7% 0.2%
Sydney Bolger 20.0% 20.0% 17.2% 11.4% 10.2% 8.7% 7.0% 3.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Christine Porter 2.8% 3.7% 3.6% 4.0% 5.0% 5.3% 8.6% 10.1% 18.6% 31.2% 7.1%
Sarah Hughes 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.6% 2.0% 2.4% 8.1% 84.4%
Rachael Silverstein 3.8% 3.4% 5.3% 6.7% 6.5% 6.8% 9.5% 12.9% 17.6% 23.4% 4.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.