← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Connecticut College3.68+7.52vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University4.31+4.28vs Predicted
-
3Salve Regina University3.92+4.83vs Predicted
-
4Boston College4.43+2.01vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University3.81+3.04vs Predicted
-
6Yale University4.19+1.02vs Predicted
-
7Boston University2.53+5.85vs Predicted
-
8Harvard University4.17-1.15vs Predicted
-
9Brown University4.25-2.17vs Predicted
-
10University of Connecticut2.62+2.58vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53-1.51vs Predicted
-
12Bowdoin College2.70+0.30vs Predicted
-
13Dartmouth College4.05-5.54vs Predicted
-
15University of Rhode Island3.59-5.74vs Predicted
-
16University of New Hampshire1.81-1.36vs Predicted
-
17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-9.03vs Predicted
-
18University of Vermont3.62-8.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.52Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
-
6.28Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
-
7.83Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
-
6.01Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
-
8.04Tufts University3.810.1%1st Place
-
7.02Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
-
12.85Boston University2.530.0%1st Place
-
6.85Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
-
6.83Brown University4.250.1%1st Place
-
12.58University of Connecticut2.620.0%1st Place
-
9.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.0%1st Place
-
12.3Bowdoin College2.700.0%1st Place
-
7.46Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
-
9.26University of Rhode Island3.590.0%1st Place
-
14.64University of New Hampshire1.810.0%1st Place
-
7.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
-
9.06University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maggie Shea | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Sean Bouchard | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Anne Haeger | 11.6% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Criezis | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Joseph Morris | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Mathew Renik | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 21.8% | 15.6% |
| John Stokes | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| William Brown | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Peter Giuliano | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 16.3% | 15.2% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 1.9% |
| Billy Rohman | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 16.2% | 13.9% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Mike Warren | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Neal Drake | 0.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 9.8% | 15.8% | 46.8% |
| Andrew Sommer | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Coleman Bowen | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.