Race 11B

delaware-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
James Cottage 9.7% 10.5% 9.7% 12.3% 12.2% 11.2% 10.9% 9.1% 8.6% 4.8% 1.0%
Ernest Glukhov 11.6% 12.5% 13.5% 11.8% 12.4% 11.5% 9.8% 8.6% 5.5% 2.1% 0.6%
Benjamin Koly 7.0% 7.2% 8.2% 7.5% 9.6% 10.2% 11.1% 13.7% 14.2% 9.0% 2.2%
Ryan Ververs 19.9% 16.4% 16.4% 13.9% 11.2% 8.0% 6.1% 5.1% 2.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Jared Cohen 16.8% 15.7% 14.3% 13.6% 10.5% 9.8% 8.3% 6.6% 3.2% 1.1% 0.0%
Erich Laughlin 8.0% 8.2% 8.2% 9.4% 9.8% 10.2% 12.3% 11.6% 13.2% 7.6% 1.4%
Alexander Pfeffer 10.7% 12.7% 11.1% 11.5% 12.7% 12.3% 10.6% 9.3% 6.2% 2.5% 0.4%
Conor Farah 7.2% 7.0% 8.2% 8.8% 9.2% 11.5% 11.7% 11.6% 14.2% 8.0% 2.8%
Deepak Ramesh 6.5% 7.0% 7.3% 7.8% 8.6% 10.2% 11.3% 13.8% 14.7% 10.1% 2.6%
Sebastian Bustamante 1.1% 1.2% 1.1% 1.4% 1.5% 2.4% 2.9% 4.2% 6.9% 20.2% 57.1%
Laura Jayne 1.6% 1.6% 1.9% 1.9% 2.2% 2.9% 4.8% 6.5% 10.7% 34.2% 31.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.