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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College2.51+7.45vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.61+5.21vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.90+4.02vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+4.72vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.78+3.39vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.36+6.88vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.75+0.87vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan1.12+4.94vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.48-1.60vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-0.23vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.89+1.56vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.49-4.34vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.38-4.66vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.20-5.14vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.95-3.92vs Predicted
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16Florida State University1.95-4.10vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.81-5.25vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara2.04-9.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.45SUNY Maritime College2.517.2%1st Place
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7.21Stanford University2.618.2%1st Place
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7.02Dartmouth College2.908.6%1st Place
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8.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.326.3%1st Place
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8.39University of Rhode Island2.786.7%1st Place
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12.88University of Wisconsin1.362.4%1st Place
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7.87Georgetown University2.757.9%1st Place
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12.94University of Michigan1.121.9%1st Place
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7.4Harvard University2.488.0%1st Place
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9.77Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.164.8%1st Place
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12.56Fordham University1.892.1%1st Place
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7.66College of Charleston2.497.6%1st Place
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8.34Bowdoin College2.386.4%1st Place
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8.86Boston College2.206.9%1st Place
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11.08Connecticut College1.953.5%1st Place
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11.9Florida State University1.952.6%1st Place
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11.75Old Dominion University1.811.9%1st Place
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8.21University of California at Santa Barbara2.047.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benton Amthor | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Reed Weston | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 13.7% | 19.3% |
| Mariner Fagan | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Joe Serpa | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 20.9% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Will Murray | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.5% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 15.3% |
| Noah Zittrer | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Michael Kirkman | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Walter Henry | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 11.7% |
| Noyl Odom | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.9% |
| Chris Kayda | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.