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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.72+1.37vs Predicted
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2Bates College1.65+0.42vs Predicted
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3McGill University-0.01+0.99vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.16-2.09vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.39-0.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.37Dartmouth College1.720.3%1st Place
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2.42Bates College1.650.2%1st Place
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3.99McGill University-0.010.0%1st Place
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1.91Tufts University2.160.4%1st Place
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4.31University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Gallagher | 26.5% | 28.5% | 29.2% | 12.7% | 3.1% |
| Samuel Scribner | 23.3% | 29.7% | 30.6% | 14.1% | 2.3% |
| Simon Li | 4.6% | 6.7% | 11.5% | 39.8% | 37.4% |
| Amanda Sommi | 43.5% | 29.8% | 20.4% | 5.1% | 1.2% |
| Michelle Guidotti | 2.1% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 28.3% | 56.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.