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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+6.92vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.73+3.77vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.85+4.09vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+3.68vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.12+4.54vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.46+1.72vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.45+1.02vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.38-0.14vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.82+1.66vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania1.72+1.19vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute1.73-2.00vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.78-1.42vs Predicted
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13University of Miami2.32-4.33vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.54-1.81vs Predicted
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15Palm Beach Atlantic University1.26-2.35vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.25-6.91vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University-1.38-5.42vs Predicted
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18Boston University1.07-4.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.0%1st Place
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5.77Yale University2.7313.5%1st Place
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7.09Brown University2.858.8%1st Place
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7.68St. Mary's College of Maryland2.657.6%1st Place
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9.54Tufts University2.124.7%1st Place
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7.72Tulane University2.467.2%1st Place
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8.02Roger Williams University2.456.7%1st Place
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7.86Cornell University2.387.1%1st Place
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10.66George Washington University1.824.0%1st Place
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11.19University of Pennsylvania1.722.9%1st Place
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9.0Webb Institute1.735.9%1st Place
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10.58North Carolina State University1.784.1%1st Place
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8.67University of Miami2.325.9%1st Place
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12.19University of South Florida1.542.8%1st Place
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12.65Palm Beach Atlantic University1.262.1%1st Place
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9.09U. S. Naval Academy2.255.2%1st Place
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11.58Jacksonville University-1.383.2%1st Place
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13.82Boston University1.071.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Bruce | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Jack Egan | 13.5% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Leo Boucher | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.9% |
| Cameron Giblin | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Bridget Green | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Tyler Wood | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.9% |
| Torrey Chisari | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.1% |
| Rayne Duff | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| Adam Larson | 4.1% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% |
| Atlee Kohl | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Eden Nykamp | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 13.6% |
| Thomas Green | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 16.4% |
| Gavin McJones | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Emily Allen | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.0% |
| Porter Bell | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 14.2% | 28.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.