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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.48+6.51vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.49+5.92vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.89+9.77vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.78+4.51vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan1.12+8.10vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.90+1.04vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.38+1.37vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.20+0.34vs Predicted
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9Florida State University1.95+2.89vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College2.51-1.64vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-2.32vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.75-4.29vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.95-1.80vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin1.36-1.28vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara2.04-6.83vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-6.06vs Predicted
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17Stanford University2.61-10.02vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University1.81-6.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.51Harvard University2.487.8%1st Place
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7.92College of Charleston2.497.4%1st Place
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12.77Fordham University1.891.6%1st Place
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8.51University of Rhode Island2.785.5%1st Place
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13.1University of Michigan1.122.3%1st Place
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7.04Dartmouth College2.909.1%1st Place
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8.37Bowdoin College2.386.5%1st Place
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8.34Boston College2.207.5%1st Place
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11.89Florida State University1.952.9%1st Place
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8.36SUNY Maritime College2.517.6%1st Place
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8.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.325.8%1st Place
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7.71Georgetown University2.757.6%1st Place
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11.2Connecticut College1.953.1%1st Place
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12.72University of Wisconsin1.362.9%1st Place
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8.17University of California at Santa Barbara2.046.0%1st Place
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9.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.163.5%1st Place
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6.98Stanford University2.619.2%1st Place
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11.78Old Dominion University1.813.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Callahan | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Noah Zittrer | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 16.8% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Joe Serpa | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 20.7% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Michael Kirkman | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 11.4% |
| Benton Amthor | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Mariner Fagan | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Walter Henry | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.3% |
| Reed Weston | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 18.9% |
| Chris Kayda | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Will Murray | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 2.9% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.