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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.72+1.35vs Predicted
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2Bates College1.65+0.40vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.16-1.09vs Predicted
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4McGill University-0.01+0.01vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.39-0.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.35Dartmouth College1.720.3%1st Place
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2.4Bates College1.650.2%1st Place
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1.91Tufts University2.160.4%1st Place
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4.01McGill University-0.010.0%1st Place
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4.32University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Gallagher | 27.0% | 29.7% | 27.5% | 12.8% | 3.0% |
| Samuel Scribner | 24.2% | 28.5% | 32.0% | 13.2% | 2.1% |
| Amanda Sommi | 42.7% | 30.4% | 20.5% | 5.5% | 0.9% |
| Simon Li | 3.8% | 6.5% | 11.5% | 41.1% | 37.1% |
| Michelle Guidotti | 2.3% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 27.4% | 56.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.