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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College1.65+1.43vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.72+0.34vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.16-1.09vs Predicted
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4McGill University-0.01+0.01vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.39-0.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.43Bates College1.650.2%1st Place
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2.34Dartmouth College1.720.3%1st Place
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1.91Tufts University2.160.4%1st Place
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4.01McGill University-0.010.0%1st Place
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4.31University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Scribner | 24.7% | 29.0% | 28.1% | 14.8% | 3.4% |
| Thomas Gallagher | 26.3% | 28.7% | 31.7% | 11.5% | 1.8% |
| Amanda Sommi | 43.0% | 30.5% | 19.9% | 5.7% | 0.9% |
| Simon Li | 3.7% | 6.6% | 11.7% | 41.0% | 37.0% |
| Michelle Guidotti | 2.3% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 27.0% | 56.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.