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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.85+5.99vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+5.64vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.73+2.83vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.45+3.99vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+3.01vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.25+3.05vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute1.73+2.13vs Predicted
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8University of Miami2.32+0.67vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.78+1.61vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.82+0.27vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.38-3.25vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.12-2.65vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.46-5.03vs Predicted
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14Palm Beach Atlantic University1.26-1.28vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.54-2.69vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University-1.38-4.50vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania1.72-5.62vs Predicted
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18Boston University1.07-4.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.99Brown University2.858.7%1st Place
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7.64St. Mary's College of Maryland2.657.9%1st Place
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5.83Yale University2.7312.6%1st Place
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7.99Roger Williams University2.456.7%1st Place
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8.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.1%1st Place
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9.05U. S. Naval Academy2.255.2%1st Place
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9.13Webb Institute1.735.7%1st Place
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8.67University of Miami2.326.6%1st Place
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10.61North Carolina State University1.784.0%1st Place
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10.27George Washington University1.825.0%1st Place
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7.75Cornell University2.386.9%1st Place
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9.35Tufts University2.125.1%1st Place
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7.97Tulane University2.466.9%1st Place
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12.72Palm Beach Atlantic University1.261.8%1st Place
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12.31University of South Florida1.541.9%1st Place
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11.5Jacksonville University-1.383.1%1st Place
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11.38University of Pennsylvania1.722.9%1st Place
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13.83Boston University1.071.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Nelson | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Leo Boucher | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Jack Egan | 12.6% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Gavin McJones | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| Rayne Duff | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Atlee Kohl | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Adam Larson | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% |
| Tyler Wood | 5.0% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% |
| Bridget Green | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 1.8% |
| Cameron Giblin | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Thomas Green | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 16.1% |
| Eden Nykamp | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 13.8% |
| Emily Allen | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.8% |
| Torrey Chisari | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.8% |
| Porter Bell | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 14.8% | 28.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.