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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.72+1.36vs Predicted
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2Bates College1.65+0.41vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.16-1.08vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.39+0.31vs Predicted
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5McGill University-0.01-1.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.36Dartmouth College1.720.3%1st Place
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2.41Bates College1.650.2%1st Place
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1.92Tufts University2.160.4%1st Place
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4.31University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.390.0%1st Place
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4.0McGill University-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Gallagher | 26.9% | 29.7% | 27.1% | 13.5% | 2.8% |
| Samuel Scribner | 23.6% | 28.8% | 32.3% | 13.3% | 2.0% |
| Amanda Sommi | 42.9% | 30.1% | 20.1% | 6.2% | 0.7% |
| Michelle Guidotti | 2.7% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 29.6% | 55.9% |
| Simon Li | 3.9% | 6.7% | 13.4% | 37.4% | 38.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.