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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.12+8.31vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.73+4.67vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.32+5.55vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.92+2.60vs Predicted
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5Palm Beach Atlantic University1.26+7.58vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.46+1.77vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.79+2.59vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.45-0.05vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.53+2.98vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute1.73-1.06vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-0.39vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy1.89-2.02vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.38-5.48vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62-3.06vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.54-2.87vs Predicted
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16George Washington University1.82-5.74vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University2.10-8.10vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania1.77-7.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.31Tufts University2.125.2%1st Place
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6.67Brown University2.7310.4%1st Place
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8.55University of Miami2.325.3%1st Place
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6.6Yale University2.9210.2%1st Place
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12.58Palm Beach Atlantic University1.262.4%1st Place
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7.77Tulane University2.468.0%1st Place
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9.59Boston University1.795.1%1st Place
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7.95Roger Williams University2.456.6%1st Place
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11.98North Carolina State University1.533.4%1st Place
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8.94Webb Institute1.736.7%1st Place
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10.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.453.5%1st Place
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9.98U. S. Naval Academy1.894.5%1st Place
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7.52Cornell University2.388.2%1st Place
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10.94St. Mary's College of Maryland1.624.0%1st Place
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12.13University of South Florida1.542.6%1st Place
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10.26George Washington University1.823.9%1st Place
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8.9Jacksonville University2.105.7%1st Place
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10.7University of Pennsylvania1.774.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Davis | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.2% |
| Guthrie Braun | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Atlee Kohl | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Green | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 17.8% |
| Cameron Giblin | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.5% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 14.0% |
| Rayne Duff | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% |
| Cooper Walshe | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% |
| Bridget Green | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Felix Cutler | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% |
| Eden Nykamp | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 15.2% |
| Tyler Wood | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% |
| Owen Bannasch | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.