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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.16+0.97vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.72+0.35vs Predicted
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3McGill University-0.01+0.98vs Predicted
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4Bates College1.65-1.61vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.39-0.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.97Tufts University2.160.4%1st Place
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2.35Dartmouth College1.720.3%1st Place
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3.98McGill University-0.010.0%1st Place
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2.39Bates College1.650.2%1st Place
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4.3University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Sommi | 41.5% | 29.7% | 20.4% | 7.2% | 1.2% |
| Thomas Gallagher | 26.1% | 29.8% | 28.6% | 13.5% | 2.0% |
| Simon Li | 4.7% | 6.6% | 12.2% | 38.5% | 38.0% |
| Samuel Scribner | 24.9% | 28.8% | 31.3% | 12.6% | 2.4% |
| Michelle Guidotti | 2.8% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 28.2% | 56.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.