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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.16+0.95vs Predicted
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2Bates College1.65+0.39vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College1.72-0.66vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.39+0.32vs Predicted
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5McGill University-0.01-1.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.95Tufts University2.160.4%1st Place
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2.39Bates College1.650.2%1st Place
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2.34Dartmouth College1.720.3%1st Place
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4.32University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.390.0%1st Place
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4.0McGill University-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Sommi | 42.7% | 29.2% | 19.6% | 7.2% | 1.3% |
| Samuel Scribner | 24.8% | 28.3% | 32.1% | 12.8% | 2.0% |
| Thomas Gallagher | 25.6% | 30.9% | 29.4% | 12.1% | 2.0% |
| Michelle Guidotti | 2.6% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 30.0% | 55.6% |
| Simon Li | 4.3% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 37.9% | 39.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.