← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University2.16+0.96vs Predicted
-
2Bates College1.65+0.38vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College1.72-0.66vs Predicted
-
4McGill University-0.01+0.01vs Predicted
-
5University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.39-0.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.96Tufts University2.160.4%1st Place
-
2.38Bates College1.650.3%1st Place
-
2.34Dartmouth College1.720.3%1st Place
-
4.01McGill University-0.010.0%1st Place
-
4.31University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Sommi | 42.5% | 28.9% | 19.8% | 8.0% | 0.8% |
| Samuel Scribner | 25.5% | 27.5% | 32.5% | 12.4% | 2.1% |
| Thomas Gallagher | 25.9% | 31.5% | 27.3% | 13.2% | 2.1% |
| Simon Li | 3.7% | 6.8% | 11.9% | 40.3% | 37.3% |
| Michelle Guidotti | 2.4% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 26.1% | 57.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.