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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.90+8.50vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+5.58vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.22+4.84vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.04+5.21vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.34+7.36vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.38+1.69vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.42-1.30vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.91-2.21vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.60-1.74vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.09-1.34vs Predicted
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11University of Miami1.93-0.29vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.65-0.90vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.86-3.07vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13-3.12vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41-3.96vs Predicted
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16Webb Institute1.43-4.87vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University1.09-5.11vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University1.20-5.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.5University of Pennsylvania1.904.2%1st Place
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7.58St. Mary's College of Maryland2.577.1%1st Place
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7.84Tufts University2.226.5%1st Place
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9.21Tulane University2.045.9%1st Place
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12.36Eckerd College1.342.1%1st Place
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7.69Cornell University2.386.9%1st Place
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5.7Yale University2.4213.8%1st Place
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5.79Brown University2.9112.7%1st Place
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7.26U. S. Naval Academy2.608.0%1st Place
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8.66Roger Williams University2.095.9%1st Place
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10.71University of Miami1.933.6%1st Place
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11.1Boston University1.653.5%1st Place
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9.93George Washington University1.864.1%1st Place
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10.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.133.4%1st Place
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11.04U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.414.2%1st Place
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11.13Webb Institute1.433.0%1st Place
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11.89North Carolina State University1.092.9%1st Place
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12.74Jacksonville University1.202.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javier Garcon | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% |
| Owen Hennessey | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Thad Lettsome | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| matthew Monts | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 16.8% |
| Hayden Earl | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Carmen Cowles | 13.8% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 12.7% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Smith | 8.0% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Oliver Stokke | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Aidan Dennis | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% |
| Micky Munns | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% |
| Owen Timms | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% |
| Dana Haig | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% |
| William Weinbecker | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% |
| Payne Donaldson | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 12.0% |
| Brent Penwarden | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 19.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.