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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College1.65+1.44vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.16-0.09vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College1.72-0.66vs Predicted
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4McGill University-0.010.00vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.39-0.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.44Bates College1.650.2%1st Place
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1.91Tufts University2.160.4%1st Place
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2.34Dartmouth College1.720.3%1st Place
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4.0McGill University-0.010.0%1st Place
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4.31University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Scribner | 24.9% | 27.2% | 30.1% | 14.6% | 3.2% |
| Amanda Sommi | 41.6% | 32.6% | 19.6% | 5.4% | 0.8% |
| Thomas Gallagher | 27.2% | 28.9% | 28.7% | 13.2% | 2.0% |
| Simon Li | 3.9% | 6.3% | 12.6% | 40.1% | 37.1% |
| Michelle Guidotti | 2.4% | 5.0% | 9.0% | 26.7% | 56.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.