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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.43+4.80vs Predicted
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2Brown University4.25+4.55vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.59+6.11vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.19+2.91vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University4.31+1.26vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.53+7.00vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.81+1.29vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.62+0.79vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College4.05-1.51vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University3.92-2.23vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-3.88vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53-3.70vs Predicted
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14Harvard University4.17-7.00vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College3.68-6.07vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut2.62-3.49vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.70-4.60vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire1.81-3.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.8Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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6.55Brown University4.250.1%1st Place
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9.11University of Rhode Island3.590.0%1st Place
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6.91Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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6.26Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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13.0Boston University2.530.0%1st Place
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8.29Tufts University3.810.1%1st Place
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8.79University of Vermont3.620.1%1st Place
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7.49Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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7.77Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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8.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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9.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.0%1st Place
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7.0Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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8.93Connecticut College3.680.0%1st Place
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12.51University of Connecticut2.620.0%1st Place
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12.4Bowdoin College2.700.0%1st Place
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14.78University of New Hampshire1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anne Haeger | 13.1% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Brown | 9.5% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Mike Warren | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Joseph Morris | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Bouchard | 11.0% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Mathew Renik | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 19.5% | 17.7% |
| Andrew Criezis | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Coleman Bowen | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Matthew Wefer | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 1.5% |
| John Stokes | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Maggie Shea | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Peter Giuliano | 1.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 19.8% | 14.1% |
| Billy Rohman | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 15.9% | 12.6% |
| Neal Drake | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 9.5% | 16.7% | 46.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.