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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.72+1.36vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.16-0.08vs Predicted
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3Bates College1.65-0.59vs Predicted
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4McGill University-0.01+0.01vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.39-0.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.36Dartmouth College1.720.3%1st Place
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1.92Tufts University2.160.4%1st Place
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2.41Bates College1.650.3%1st Place
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4.01McGill University-0.010.0%1st Place
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4.31University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Gallagher | 27.1% | 28.1% | 28.9% | 13.2% | 2.7% |
| Amanda Sommi | 41.3% | 32.6% | 19.9% | 5.4% | 0.8% |
| Samuel Scribner | 25.2% | 28.0% | 30.1% | 14.4% | 2.3% |
| Simon Li | 3.9% | 6.1% | 12.8% | 39.9% | 37.3% |
| Michelle Guidotti | 2.5% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 27.1% | 56.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.