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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.72+1.38vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.16-0.05vs Predicted
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3McGill University-0.01+0.99vs Predicted
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4Bates College1.65-1.62vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.39-0.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38Dartmouth College1.720.3%1st Place
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1.95Tufts University2.160.4%1st Place
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3.99McGill University-0.010.0%1st Place
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2.38Bates College1.650.2%1st Place
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4.3University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Gallagher | 26.1% | 28.8% | 29.3% | 12.5% | 3.3% |
| Amanda Sommi | 41.9% | 28.7% | 22.6% | 6.1% | 0.7% |
| Simon Li | 4.6% | 6.8% | 11.1% | 40.2% | 37.3% |
| Samuel Scribner | 24.9% | 30.4% | 29.1% | 13.2% | 2.4% |
| Michelle Guidotti | 2.5% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 28.0% | 56.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.