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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.16+0.96vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.72+0.32vs Predicted
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3Bates College1.65-0.60vs Predicted
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4McGill University-0.01+0.01vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.39-0.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.96Tufts University2.160.4%1st Place
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2.32Dartmouth College1.720.3%1st Place
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2.4Bates College1.650.2%1st Place
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4.01McGill University-0.010.0%1st Place
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4.31University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Sommi | 42.1% | 29.5% | 19.6% | 8.0% | 0.8% |
| Thomas Gallagher | 27.7% | 28.2% | 30.4% | 11.8% | 1.9% |
| Samuel Scribner | 23.9% | 30.1% | 29.8% | 14.0% | 2.2% |
| Simon Li | 3.7% | 6.7% | 12.0% | 40.2% | 37.4% |
| Michelle Guidotti | 2.6% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 26.0% | 57.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.