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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.72+1.37vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.16-0.08vs Predicted
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3Bates College1.65-0.60vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.39+0.31vs Predicted
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5McGill University-0.01-1.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.37Dartmouth College1.720.3%1st Place
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1.92Tufts University2.160.4%1st Place
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2.4Bates College1.650.3%1st Place
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4.31University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.390.0%1st Place
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4.0McGill University-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Gallagher | 27.0% | 28.3% | 28.3% | 13.7% | 2.7% |
| Amanda Sommi | 41.3% | 32.2% | 20.0% | 5.9% | 0.6% |
| Samuel Scribner | 25.2% | 27.2% | 32.3% | 12.7% | 2.6% |
| Michelle Guidotti | 2.6% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 29.5% | 55.6% |
| Simon Li | 3.9% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 38.2% | 38.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.