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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College1.65+1.45vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.16-0.06vs Predicted
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3McGill University-0.01+0.99vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.72-1.67vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.39-0.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.45Bates College1.650.2%1st Place
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1.94Tufts University2.160.4%1st Place
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3.99McGill University-0.010.0%1st Place
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2.33Dartmouth College1.720.3%1st Place
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4.3University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Scribner | 24.5% | 27.8% | 29.7% | 14.4% | 3.6% |
| Amanda Sommi | 41.9% | 29.5% | 21.9% | 6.0% | 0.7% |
| Simon Li | 4.4% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 40.0% | 37.3% |
| Thomas Gallagher | 26.7% | 29.9% | 29.6% | 11.6% | 2.2% |
| Michelle Guidotti | 2.5% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 28.0% | 56.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.