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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+3.82vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.41+5.95vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.75+2.92vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College1.88+6.35vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.38+2.52vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.29+2.79vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.56+1.04vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+1.74vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.81+1.55vs Predicted
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10Harvard University1.55+1.72vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.08-1.77vs Predicted
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12Florida State University1.62-1.51vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-6.62vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.62-3.24vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.57-3.13vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara1.44-5.30vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan0.50-3.02vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.14-5.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.82Stanford University3.3015.8%1st Place
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7.95Georgetown University2.416.7%1st Place
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5.92Dartmouth College2.7511.6%1st Place
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10.35SUNY Maritime College1.883.9%1st Place
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7.52College of Charleston2.387.6%1st Place
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8.79Connecticut College2.294.8%1st Place
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8.04Boston College2.565.5%1st Place
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9.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.774.3%1st Place
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10.55University of Rhode Island1.813.0%1st Place
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11.72Harvard University1.553.0%1st Place
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9.23Bowdoin College2.085.1%1st Place
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10.49Florida State University1.624.2%1st Place
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6.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4810.9%1st Place
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10.76Fordham University1.623.5%1st Place
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11.87Old Dominion University1.572.9%1st Place
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10.7University of California at Santa Barbara1.443.1%1st Place
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13.98University of Michigan0.501.6%1st Place
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12.19University of Wisconsin1.142.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 15.8% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Scott Mais | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.6% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Barnes | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.0% |
| Eric Hansen | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 10.8% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% |
| Joey Meagher | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 4.5% |
| Colman Schofield | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Dolan | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.5% |
| Parker Purrington | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 11.5% |
| Ted McDonough | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.6% |
| Brody Schwartz | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 30.9% |
| Charlie Herrick | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 12.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.