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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.16+0.95vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.72+0.32vs Predicted
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3Bates College1.65-0.60vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.39+0.32vs Predicted
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5McGill University-0.01-0.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.95Tufts University2.160.4%1st Place
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2.32Dartmouth College1.720.3%1st Place
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2.4Bates College1.650.2%1st Place
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4.32University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.390.0%1st Place
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4.01McGill University-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Sommi | 42.3% | 29.8% | 19.4% | 7.2% | 1.3% |
| Thomas Gallagher | 27.2% | 28.9% | 30.7% | 11.3% | 1.9% |
| Samuel Scribner | 23.9% | 29.5% | 31.4% | 12.9% | 2.3% |
| Michelle Guidotti | 2.5% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 30.2% | 55.5% |
| Simon Li | 4.1% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 38.4% | 39.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.