Race 1A

north-fall-1

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Tyler Steel 9.3% 8.5% 9.9% 11.7% 13.6% 12.2% 11.5% 9.4% 6.9% 4.5% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Olin Paine 29.3% 25.1% 17.7% 11.0% 7.7% 5.3% 1.9% 1.3% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Johnny Norfleet 21.4% 18.7% 15.7% 13.8% 13.5% 7.8% 4.9% 2.5% 1.1% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Bates 6.5% 9.6% 10.1% 11.6% 11.1% 13.0% 12.0% 9.0% 8.2% 6.3% 1.8% 0.8% 0.0%
Lukas Edegran 8.2% 8.4% 12.3% 12.5% 10.7% 10.3% 12.0% 8.9% 8.4% 4.9% 3.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Griffin Orr 4.6% 6.3% 6.7% 7.0% 6.8% 9.6% 12.7% 12.0% 13.9% 10.3% 7.9% 2.2% 0.0%
Paul Throop 2.9% 4.1% 3.9% 4.9% 7.3% 7.8% 8.0% 10.3% 13.3% 14.7% 15.4% 7.4% 0.0%
Conor Cashel 6.6% 6.5% 7.0% 8.6% 9.5% 9.5% 10.9% 13.2% 12.3% 9.1% 4.4% 2.4% 0.0%
Duncan Howes 6.5% 7.1% 9.9% 11.0% 11.3% 12.8% 10.8% 12.7% 8.4% 6.7% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Nathan Fast 2.4% 2.9% 4.2% 3.6% 4.0% 5.5% 7.7% 10.5% 12.5% 16.0% 18.7% 12.0% 0.0%
Andrew Beckmann 1.6% 1.5% 1.6% 2.1% 2.7% 3.3% 5.2% 6.9% 8.3% 14.7% 24.3% 27.8% 0.0%
Jacob Romanowsky 0.7% 1.3% 1.0% 2.2% 1.8% 2.9% 2.4% 3.3% 6.0% 12.2% 19.9% 46.3% 0.0%
Jacob Romanowsky 0.7% 1.3% 1.0% 2.2% 1.8% 2.9% 2.4% 3.3% 6.0% 12.2% 19.9% 46.3% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.