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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland-0.08+3.18vs Predicted
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2Penn State University-0.91+3.83vs Predicted
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3American University-0.66+2.08vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.45+0.65vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-1.07+1.19vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-0.53-1.08vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech0.00-3.25vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-1.05-1.85vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-1.14-2.62vs Predicted
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10U. S. Military Academy-3.04-0.25vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University-2.56-1.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.18University of Maryland-0.0815.5%1st Place
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5.83Penn State University-0.918.2%1st Place
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5.08American University-0.6610.2%1st Place
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4.65SUNY Stony Brook-0.4513.6%1st Place
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6.19University of Delaware-1.076.3%1st Place
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4.92Drexel University-0.5311.2%1st Place
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3.75Virginia Tech0.0019.8%1st Place
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6.15William and Mary-1.056.5%1st Place
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6.38University of Delaware-1.146.2%1st Place
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9.75U. S. Military Academy-3.041.1%1st Place
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9.11Syracuse University-2.561.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jared Cohen | 15.5% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
Erich Laughlin | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 7.1% | 1.8% |
James Cottage | 10.2% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
Ernest Glukhov | 13.6% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
Benjamin Koly | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 8.8% | 1.8% |
Alexander Pfeffer | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
Ryan Ververs | 19.8% | 17.5% | 16.0% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Conor Farah | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 2.5% |
Deepak Ramesh | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 16.7% | 10.5% | 3.0% |
Sebastian Bustamante | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 20.8% | 56.5% |
Laura Jayne | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 11.1% | 31.9% | 32.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.