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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.19+5.72vs Predicted
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2Harvard University4.17+4.82vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.53+9.72vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+4.05vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.68+3.62vs Predicted
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6Brown University4.25+0.81vs Predicted
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7Boston College4.43-0.99vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College4.05-0.75vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53+0.59vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.81-1.88vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut2.62+1.62vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.62-2.99vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire1.81+1.70vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University3.92-6.01vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont3.62-5.96vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.70-4.60vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University4.31-11.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.72Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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6.82Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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12.72Boston University2.530.0%1st Place
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8.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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8.62Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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6.81Brown University4.250.1%1st Place
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6.01Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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7.25Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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9.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.0%1st Place
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8.12Tufts University3.810.1%1st Place
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12.62University of Connecticut2.620.0%1st Place
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9.01University of Rhode Island3.620.0%1st Place
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14.7University of New Hampshire1.810.0%1st Place
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7.99Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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9.04University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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12.4Bowdoin College2.700.0%1st Place
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6.54Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Morris | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| John Stokes | 9.3% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Mathew Renik | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 14.1% | 17.9% | 16.6% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Maggie Shea | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| William Brown | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Anne Haeger | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 1.6% |
| Andrew Criezis | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Peter Giuliano | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 17.3% | 16.3% |
| Matthew Carmody | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Neal Drake | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 8.7% | 21.2% | 44.5% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Coleman Bowen | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% |
| Billy Rohman | 2.1% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 15.9% | 12.2% |
| Sean Bouchard | 9.8% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.