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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jared Cohen 15.5% 14.8% 14.1% 13.2% 13.1% 9.7% 8.5% 6.2% 3.5% 1.1% 0.2%
Erich Laughlin 8.2% 8.1% 8.8% 7.9% 10.9% 11.7% 11.5% 12.2% 11.8% 7.1% 1.8%
James Cottage 10.2% 11.3% 10.2% 11.6% 11.8% 12.0% 10.8% 10.1% 7.8% 3.5% 0.4%
Ernest Glukhov 13.6% 12.7% 12.6% 12.2% 10.9% 10.8% 10.4% 8.6% 5.5% 2.5% 0.4%
Benjamin Koly 6.3% 6.7% 7.2% 9.4% 9.4% 10.1% 11.7% 13.9% 14.5% 8.8% 1.8%
Alexander Pfeffer 11.2% 11.2% 10.6% 12.6% 12.2% 11.8% 11.4% 9.4% 6.9% 2.4% 0.4%
Ryan Ververs 19.8% 17.5% 16.0% 12.4% 10.5% 8.6% 7.4% 4.1% 2.5% 1.1% 0.1%
Conor Farah 6.5% 7.8% 8.3% 8.7% 8.8% 10.1% 11.5% 12.2% 13.4% 10.3% 2.5%
Deepak Ramesh 6.2% 6.7% 8.1% 7.5% 8.0% 9.7% 10.7% 13.0% 16.7% 10.5% 3.0%
Sebastian Bustamante 1.1% 1.3% 1.8% 1.7% 1.3% 2.4% 2.5% 4.3% 6.4% 20.8% 56.5%
Laura Jayne 1.3% 1.9% 2.3% 2.9% 2.9% 3.2% 3.6% 6.1% 11.1% 31.9% 32.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.