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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+8.61vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.44+8.80vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.30+1.77vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.75+2.00vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College1.88+5.08vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.08+3.43vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-0.53vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.59+2.23vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.81+1.37vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.41-1.94vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.29-2.13vs Predicted
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12Florida State University1.62-1.51vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.56-5.15vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston2.38-6.64vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.09-2.29vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.62-5.45vs Predicted
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17Harvard University1.55-5.24vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan0.05-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.774.0%1st Place
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10.8University of California at Santa Barbara1.442.9%1st Place
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4.77Stanford University3.3015.4%1st Place
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6.0Dartmouth College2.7510.7%1st Place
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10.08SUNY Maritime College1.883.5%1st Place
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9.43Bowdoin College2.084.7%1st Place
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6.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4810.5%1st Place
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10.23Old Dominion University1.594.2%1st Place
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10.37University of Rhode Island1.813.5%1st Place
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8.06Georgetown University2.416.5%1st Place
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8.87Connecticut College2.295.9%1st Place
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10.49Florida State University1.623.0%1st Place
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7.85Boston College2.567.0%1st Place
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7.36College of Charleston2.388.6%1st Place
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12.71University of Wisconsin1.092.4%1st Place
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10.55Fordham University1.623.6%1st Place
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11.76Harvard University1.553.0%1st Place
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15.59University of Michigan0.050.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
Ted McDonough | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 3.6% |
Vanessa Lahrkamp | 15.4% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Maddie Hawkins | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Spencer Barnes | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 2.9% |
Christopher Lukens | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
Colman Schofield | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Diogo Silva | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 3.8% |
Joshua Bartoszuk | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 3.6% |
Scott Mais | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
Thomas Whittemore | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
Joey Meagher | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.5% |
Colleen O'Brien | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
Benjamin Dufour | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
Abe Weston | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 16.6% | 12.9% |
Patrick Dolan | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.2% |
Eric Hansen | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 7.5% |
Luciana Solorzano | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 8.1% | 12.9% | 51.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.