Race 6A

north-fall-1

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Olin Paine 28.0% 24.2% 18.2% 12.9% 8.2% 4.3% 2.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Johnny Norfleet 20.6% 17.9% 17.2% 13.9% 12.5% 7.8% 5.0% 2.8% 1.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nathan Fast 2.8% 2.9% 2.8% 4.7% 5.0% 4.7% 6.9% 9.1% 12.4% 16.9% 19.9% 11.9% 0.0%
Tyler Steel 6.5% 11.8% 11.2% 11.2% 11.8% 13.0% 11.4% 9.5% 6.9% 4.9% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Andrew Bates 8.4% 7.9% 11.2% 10.9% 11.8% 11.9% 12.1% 8.4% 9.2% 4.8% 2.8% 0.6% 0.0%
Duncan Howes 7.4% 7.4% 8.9% 8.5% 9.4% 12.6% 12.3% 11.0% 9.9% 7.8% 4.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Paul Throop 3.7% 3.9% 4.0% 4.7% 6.2% 8.1% 8.6% 11.0% 13.2% 15.6% 12.8% 8.2% 0.0%
Lukas Edegran 9.9% 8.2% 11.3% 13.2% 9.7% 11.6% 11.4% 10.0% 6.9% 4.9% 2.0% 0.9% 0.0%
Griffin Orr 4.4% 5.3% 6.4% 8.0% 10.7% 10.9% 12.1% 10.3% 14.4% 10.4% 5.5% 1.6% 0.0%
Conor Cashel 5.9% 7.0% 5.8% 8.4% 10.5% 9.8% 9.5% 15.3% 10.4% 8.9% 6.3% 2.2% 0.0%
Jacob Romanowsky 1.4% 1.1% 1.0% 0.9% 1.5% 2.9% 4.0% 3.7% 6.0% 10.1% 20.0% 47.4% 0.0%
Jacob Romanowsky 1.4% 1.1% 1.0% 0.9% 1.5% 2.9% 4.0% 3.7% 6.0% 10.1% 20.0% 47.4% 0.0%
Andrew Beckmann 1.0% 2.4% 2.0% 2.7% 2.7% 2.4% 4.4% 7.5% 8.6% 15.1% 24.6% 26.6% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.