Race 7A

north-fall-1

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Olin Paine 28.2% 25.5% 17.1% 12.6% 7.6% 4.7% 2.6% 1.5% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Johnny Norfleet 20.5% 20.1% 15.2% 16.0% 9.9% 7.2% 6.1% 3.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nathan Fast 2.8% 3.6% 2.5% 4.1% 4.7% 5.6% 6.8% 8.5% 13.0% 15.2% 19.3% 13.9% 0.0%
Duncan Howes 5.5% 7.9% 9.6% 10.0% 11.4% 12.1% 10.6% 10.8% 9.8% 7.1% 4.0% 1.2% 0.0%
Andrew Bates 8.1% 8.3% 11.1% 11.3% 12.4% 10.6% 11.4% 9.2% 9.1% 5.1% 2.0% 1.4% 0.0%
Griffin Orr 4.7% 4.8% 8.6% 6.1% 8.6% 10.0% 12.1% 11.7% 11.8% 11.9% 6.8% 2.9% 0.0%
Paul Throop 3.7% 3.5% 4.9% 3.9% 6.7% 7.4% 8.8% 10.8% 12.5% 15.5% 13.5% 8.8% 0.0%
Lukas Edegran 10.2% 9.8% 9.5% 11.0% 11.7% 13.1% 10.5% 9.7% 7.2% 4.3% 2.0% 1.0% 0.0%
Jacob Romanowsky 1.1% 0.9% 1.0% 1.5% 2.1% 2.7% 2.9% 4.8% 7.5% 11.5% 21.6% 42.4% 0.0%
Andrew Beckmann 1.3% 1.4% 2.2% 3.6% 2.7% 3.7% 5.2% 6.8% 9.7% 13.8% 23.1% 26.5% 0.0%
Tyler Steel 8.1% 8.9% 11.9% 11.3% 12.3% 12.2% 12.1% 10.1% 6.6% 3.9% 1.8% 0.8% 0.0%
Conor Cashel 5.8% 5.3% 6.4% 8.6% 9.9% 10.7% 10.9% 12.6% 11.8% 11.0% 5.9% 1.1% 0.0%
Jacob Romanowsky 1.1% 0.9% 1.0% 1.5% 2.1% 2.7% 2.9% 4.8% 7.5% 11.5% 21.6% 42.4% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.