Race 9A

north-fall-1

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Olin Paine 27.8% 25.2% 16.9% 13.6% 8.0% 3.9% 2.7% 1.3% 0.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nathan Fast 2.2% 1.5% 3.7% 4.6% 5.4% 5.6% 8.4% 8.6% 11.2% 18.4% 19.0% 11.4% 0.0%
Johnny Norfleet 21.0% 18.7% 16.2% 14.3% 11.9% 8.5% 5.5% 2.0% 1.3% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Bates 6.9% 9.0% 12.1% 11.0% 11.8% 12.0% 10.5% 10.8% 7.4% 5.8% 2.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Paul Throop 2.2% 4.2% 3.9% 5.1% 6.4% 7.4% 8.8% 9.6% 12.6% 15.7% 15.3% 8.8% 0.0%
Tyler Steel 9.6% 10.4% 9.7% 10.9% 12.6% 11.8% 12.1% 9.9% 6.4% 4.1% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Griffin Orr 5.5% 5.2% 6.7% 9.3% 9.0% 9.2% 10.3% 13.4% 11.8% 9.4% 7.5% 2.7% 0.0%
Conor Cashel 6.4% 6.3% 7.1% 8.4% 9.0% 9.9% 10.8% 12.4% 12.8% 8.1% 6.9% 1.9% 0.0%
Andrew Beckmann 1.8% 1.1% 1.7% 1.6% 2.9% 4.5% 5.4% 8.1% 10.2% 16.0% 20.7% 26.0% 0.0%
Lukas Edegran 8.9% 9.5% 11.2% 11.5% 11.4% 11.3% 11.5% 10.3% 7.0% 4.4% 2.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Jacob Romanowsky 1.5% 1.0% 1.2% 0.9% 2.0% 3.0% 2.7% 2.6% 8.6% 9.2% 20.2% 47.1% 0.0%
Duncan Howes 6.2% 7.9% 9.6% 8.8% 9.6% 12.9% 11.3% 11.0% 10.5% 7.9% 3.1% 1.2% 0.0%
Jacob Romanowsky 1.5% 1.0% 1.2% 0.9% 2.0% 3.0% 2.7% 2.6% 8.6% 9.2% 20.2% 47.1% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.