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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.65+9.02vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13+7.86vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+3.48vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.27+6.69vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.07+5.29vs Predicted
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6University of Miami1.93+3.41vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.85-1.89vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.60+1.59vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute1.43+0.88vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41+0.10vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.22-4.34vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University1.70-2.23vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.28-5.90vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.72-3.83vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.34-3.79vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University0.77-1.46vs Predicted
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17Tulane University2.21-6.95vs Predicted
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18Cornell University1.88-7.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.02Boston University1.653.4%1st Place
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9.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.133.9%1st Place
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6.48St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5710.3%1st Place
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10.69George Washington University1.273.7%1st Place
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10.29Roger Williams University2.073.6%1st Place
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9.41University of Miami1.934.4%1st Place
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5.11Yale University2.8514.2%1st Place
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9.59University of Pennsylvania1.605.5%1st Place
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9.88Webb Institute1.434.3%1st Place
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10.1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.414.8%1st Place
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6.66Tufts University2.2210.1%1st Place
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9.77Jacksonville University1.705.3%1st Place
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7.1U. S. Naval Academy2.288.6%1st Place
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10.17Brown University1.724.3%1st Place
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11.21Eckerd College1.343.6%1st Place
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14.54North Carolina State University0.771.1%1st Place
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10.05Tulane University2.214.2%1st Place
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10.05Cornell University1.884.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micky Munns | 3.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 3.9% |
| Dana Haig | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 10.3% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% |
| Cameron Wood | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% |
| Aidan Dennis | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
| Stephan Baker | 14.2% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Gavula | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 2.7% |
| Payne Donaldson | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% |
| William Weinbecker | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.2% |
| Ben Mueller | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Igoe | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% |
| Jack Welburn | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Jed Bell | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% |
| matthew Monts | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.9% |
| Harrison Bailey | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 40.5% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% |
| Meredith Moran | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.