Race 13A

north-fall-1

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Johnny Norfleet 20.9% 19.0% 16.9% 14.2% 11.6% 7.8% 4.8% 2.8% 1.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Lukas Edegran 6.4% 11.4% 11.3% 11.9% 10.3% 12.4% 13.2% 9.8% 6.8% 4.4% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Olin Paine 31.8% 22.5% 17.0% 12.7% 7.4% 5.4% 2.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Bates 7.5% 8.9% 9.9% 12.1% 13.4% 11.7% 11.4% 9.4% 8.8% 4.9% 1.4% 0.6% 0.0%
James Codega 0.8% 1.5% 2.8% 2.4% 2.3% 4.0% 4.7% 7.3% 9.4% 15.0% 23.0% 26.8% 0.0%
Duncan Howes 7.7% 6.9% 9.0% 7.9% 11.5% 12.7% 11.9% 13.4% 9.5% 6.6% 2.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Griffin Orr 5.5% 6.1% 6.9% 8.1% 9.6% 9.6% 11.2% 12.5% 13.0% 10.5% 4.9% 2.1% 0.0%
Jacob Romanowsky 0.6% 0.8% 1.4% 2.6% 2.7% 2.9% 3.4% 5.5% 8.4% 11.4% 21.4% 38.9% 0.0%
Jacob Romanowsky 0.6% 0.8% 1.4% 2.6% 2.7% 2.9% 3.4% 5.5% 8.4% 11.4% 21.4% 38.9% 0.0%
Tyler Steel 8.3% 11.7% 13.0% 12.6% 12.6% 12.0% 11.7% 7.8% 6.0% 2.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Conor Cashel 6.4% 6.6% 6.6% 7.4% 9.4% 12.0% 12.5% 12.4% 11.7% 8.5% 5.5% 1.0% 0.0%
Paul Throop 2.8% 3.2% 2.9% 5.3% 6.7% 6.5% 8.2% 12.0% 13.9% 17.0% 14.7% 6.8% 0.0%
Andrew Beckmann 1.3% 1.4% 2.3% 2.8% 2.5% 3.0% 4.8% 6.3% 11.2% 18.0% 23.4% 23.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.