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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.22+4.91vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.88+7.16vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.21+6.09vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.85+0.71vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41+4.30vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.60+3.22vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.78+1.85vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute1.71+0.76vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.07+0.03vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05-2.54vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University1.20-0.22vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-4.14vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.65-4.12vs Predicted
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14University of Miami1.64-4.66vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College0.44-1.75vs Predicted
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16George Washington University1.44-6.39vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy0.88-5.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.91Tufts University2.2212.4%1st Place
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9.16Cornell University1.885.0%1st Place
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9.09Tulane University2.214.4%1st Place
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4.71Yale University2.8517.4%1st Place
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9.3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.414.5%1st Place
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9.22University of Pennsylvania1.604.9%1st Place
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8.85Brown University1.785.3%1st Place
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8.76Webb Institute1.715.6%1st Place
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9.03Roger Williams University2.075.7%1st Place
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7.46St. Mary's College of Maryland2.057.3%1st Place
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10.78Jacksonville University1.202.8%1st Place
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7.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.936.3%1st Place
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8.88Boston University1.654.8%1st Place
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9.34University of Miami1.645.5%1st Place
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13.25Eckerd College0.441.7%1st Place
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9.61George Washington University1.443.5%1st Place
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11.77U. S. Naval Academy0.882.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Mueller | 12.4% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Meredith Moran | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 2.9% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 3.5% |
| Stephan Baker | 17.4% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| William Weinbecker | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% |
| Samuel Gavula | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% |
| Calvin Schmid | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% |
| Charlie Anderson | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Brent Penwarden | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.2% |
| Maks Groom | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% |
| Micky Munns | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Steven Hardee | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.6% |
| Carter Morin | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 14.4% | 31.8% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% |
| Colin MacGillivray | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 16.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.