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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.61+5.09vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.38+5.45vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.56+5.14vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.42+1.77vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.07+5.85vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.92+3.63vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+4.40vs Predicted
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8Harvard University1.90+1.70vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+1.40vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.75-3.59vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13-0.43vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston1.45-0.58vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.20-4.82vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.04-5.34vs Predicted
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15Tulane University2.21-4.26vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.15-3.84vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.60-6.20vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania1.45-5.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.09Stanford University2.6111.2%1st Place
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7.45Cornell University2.389.0%1st Place
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8.14Boston College2.566.9%1st Place
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5.77Yale University2.4211.2%1st Place
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10.85Bowdoin College2.073.4%1st Place
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9.63Brown University1.925.5%1st Place
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11.4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.763.1%1st Place
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9.7Harvard University1.904.8%1st Place
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10.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.034.2%1st Place
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6.41Dartmouth College2.759.2%1st Place
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10.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.133.7%1st Place
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11.42College of Charleston1.452.6%1st Place
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8.18Georgetown University2.206.5%1st Place
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8.66U. S. Naval Academy2.046.0%1st Place
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10.74Tulane University2.214.2%1st Place
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12.16Tufts University1.152.2%1st Place
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10.8University of South Florida1.604.3%1st Place
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12.63University of Pennsylvania1.451.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Bridget Green | 9.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 11.2% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.5% |
| Caroline Bayless | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% |
| Madison Bashaw | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.6% |
| Sarah Burn | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% |
| Emily Bornarth | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Dana Haig | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% |
| Grace Squires | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.5% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% |
| Ella Hubbard | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 17.5% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% |
| Madeleine Rice | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 17.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.