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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.92+8.73vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+8.32vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.38+4.15vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.61+2.11vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.07+5.96vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.75+0.31vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.60+3.91vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.42-2.29vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.56-0.73vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.20-1.76vs Predicted
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11Harvard University1.90-1.12vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania1.45+0.63vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-1.70vs Predicted
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14Tulane University2.21-3.16vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.15-2.64vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston1.45-4.58vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.04-8.67vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13-7.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.73Brown University1.924.5%1st Place
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10.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.033.9%1st Place
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7.15Cornell University2.389.8%1st Place
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6.11Stanford University2.6111.7%1st Place
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10.96Bowdoin College2.073.4%1st Place
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6.31Dartmouth College2.7510.8%1st Place
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10.91University of South Florida1.603.2%1st Place
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5.71Yale University2.4212.8%1st Place
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8.27Boston College2.566.1%1st Place
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8.24Georgetown University2.205.7%1st Place
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9.88Harvard University1.904.5%1st Place
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12.63University of Pennsylvania1.452.1%1st Place
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11.3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.762.6%1st Place
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10.84Tulane University2.213.5%1st Place
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12.36Tufts University1.152.4%1st Place
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11.42College of Charleston1.452.4%1st Place
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8.33U. S. Naval Academy2.046.8%1st Place
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10.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.134.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Bayless | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% |
| Emily Bornarth | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.6% |
| Bridget Green | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 11.7% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% |
| Carmen Cowles | 12.8% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Piper Holthus | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.6% |
| Madeleine Rice | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 19.7% |
| Madison Bashaw | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.9% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% |
| Ella Hubbard | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 16.6% |
| Grace Squires | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% |
| Dana Haig | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.