Race 2B

north-fall-1

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Alex Jacob 22.4% 20.7% 19.2% 14.4% 11.6% 6.8% 3.0% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Irene Jacqz 8.8% 9.8% 11.6% 11.6% 14.2% 15.0% 13.4% 9.7% 5.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Louis Padnos 27.9% 23.4% 20.0% 11.4% 8.6% 5.5% 2.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alden Sonnenfeldt 8.4% 9.8% 9.5% 13.1% 15.2% 14.9% 13.1% 9.5% 5.7% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Julia Paxton 11.2% 12.4% 12.2% 14.9% 11.9% 12.8% 12.2% 8.3% 3.5% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Charles Peck 9.4% 11.6% 11.2% 14.7% 15.1% 12.1% 11.5% 8.9% 4.2% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Dylan Froriep 6.0% 5.5% 7.4% 7.8% 10.1% 12.9% 18.1% 16.9% 11.2% 3.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Luke Miller 3.0% 3.3% 4.6% 5.7% 7.5% 10.6% 13.0% 18.8% 21.5% 11.4% 0.6% 0.0%
Matthew Pavlos 0.8% 1.5% 1.2% 1.9% 1.8% 2.8% 3.9% 9.4% 16.2% 51.2% 9.3% 0.0%
David Kagan 1.8% 2.0% 2.9% 4.4% 3.8% 6.5% 9.2% 15.4% 29.8% 22.9% 1.3% 0.0%
Matthew Pavlos 0.8% 1.5% 1.2% 1.9% 1.8% 2.8% 3.9% 9.4% 16.2% 51.2% 9.3% 0.0%
Dalton Winternheimer 0.3% 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.5% 0.7% 2.3% 7.3% 88.3% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.