Race 3B

north-fall-1

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Louis Padnos 29.9% 23.0% 18.0% 14.0% 7.4% 5.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dylan Froriep 5.0% 4.7% 6.6% 8.7% 9.0% 13.7% 16.1% 18.3% 13.4% 4.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Alex Jacob 20.0% 22.1% 18.3% 15.8% 10.8% 7.7% 3.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Julia Paxton 9.8% 11.3% 12.0% 13.7% 16.1% 14.2% 11.8% 7.3% 3.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Alden Sonnenfeldt 10.2% 9.5% 12.9% 11.8% 14.9% 14.0% 12.4% 8.0% 5.3% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Irene Jacqz 8.5% 11.0% 10.7% 13.4% 14.4% 13.6% 11.8% 10.1% 5.3% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Charles Peck 10.6% 12.2% 13.1% 13.5% 12.6% 13.6% 12.3% 7.3% 3.7% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
David Kagan 2.1% 1.4% 2.7% 2.6% 4.9% 6.7% 11.1% 16.3% 26.9% 22.9% 2.4% 0.0%
Luke Miller 3.1% 3.4% 4.2% 4.9% 6.8% 8.6% 13.2% 20.7% 21.6% 11.6% 1.9% 0.0%
Matthew Pavlos 0.6% 1.2% 1.3% 1.5% 3.0% 2.3% 5.5% 9.6% 17.4% 50.3% 7.3% 0.0%
Matthew Pavlos 0.6% 1.2% 1.3% 1.5% 3.0% 2.3% 5.5% 9.6% 17.4% 50.3% 7.3% 0.0%
Dalton Winternheimer 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.7% 2.9% 6.9% 88.1% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.