← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cornell University2.38+6.13vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College2.75+4.23vs Predicted
-
3Yale University2.42+2.76vs Predicted
-
4Stanford University2.61+2.17vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University1.90+4.73vs Predicted
-
6Bowdoin College2.07+5.02vs Predicted
-
7Tulane University2.21+3.89vs Predicted
-
8College of Charleston1.45+3.37vs Predicted
-
9University of South Florida1.60+1.86vs Predicted
-
10Georgetown University2.20-2.03vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13-0.19vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Naval Academy2.04-3.36vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University1.44-0.39vs Predicted
-
14Brown University1.92-4.56vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-4.61vs Predicted
-
16Boston College2.56-7.86vs Predicted
-
17St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-5.68vs Predicted
-
18University of Pennsylvania1.45-5.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.13Cornell University2.388.0%1st Place
-
6.23Dartmouth College2.7510.8%1st Place
-
5.76Yale University2.4211.3%1st Place
-
6.17Stanford University2.6111.3%1st Place
-
9.73Harvard University1.904.6%1st Place
-
11.02Bowdoin College2.073.4%1st Place
-
10.89Tulane University2.213.0%1st Place
-
11.37College of Charleston1.453.3%1st Place
-
10.86University of South Florida1.604.0%1st Place
-
7.97Georgetown University2.207.4%1st Place
-
10.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.133.5%1st Place
-
8.64U. S. Naval Academy2.046.2%1st Place
-
12.61Tufts University1.441.9%1st Place
-
9.44Brown University1.924.3%1st Place
-
10.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.034.5%1st Place
-
8.14Boston College2.566.7%1st Place
-
11.32St. Mary's College of Maryland1.763.0%1st Place
-
12.51University of Pennsylvania1.452.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 11.3% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.6% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% |
| Grace Squires | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Dana Haig | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% |
| Chloe Holder | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 18.8% |
| Caroline Bayless | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.5% |
| Emily Bornarth | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Madison Bashaw | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.5% |
| Madeleine Rice | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 17.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.