Race 4B

north-fall-1

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Alex Jacob 21.6% 22.3% 17.8% 16.7% 10.2% 7.0% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Louis Padnos 31.5% 22.9% 17.8% 12.3% 8.7% 4.3% 1.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charles Peck 9.0% 9.3% 12.3% 13.4% 13.4% 13.9% 13.9% 9.2% 4.8% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Julia Paxton 9.8% 10.0% 13.0% 14.0% 16.5% 13.3% 11.5% 7.9% 3.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Alden Sonnenfeldt 8.6% 12.3% 11.0% 14.0% 12.2% 15.1% 12.4% 8.8% 4.6% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dylan Froriep 4.1% 5.8% 7.3% 7.2% 10.6% 13.3% 15.1% 17.5% 13.4% 5.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Irene Jacqz 9.6% 10.3% 13.2% 12.6% 14.3% 13.1% 12.5% 8.7% 4.5% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0%
David Kagan 2.2% 2.2% 1.8% 3.2% 5.2% 6.2% 10.7% 16.9% 25.9% 23.3% 2.4% 0.0%
Luke Miller 2.7% 3.7% 4.3% 4.6% 6.5% 10.1% 13.3% 19.3% 22.3% 11.4% 1.8% 0.0%
Matthew Pavlos 0.6% 1.1% 1.4% 1.8% 2.4% 3.5% 5.2% 9.3% 18.1% 49.2% 7.4% 0.0%
Dalton Winternheimer 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.9% 2.5% 7.1% 88.2% 0.0%
Matthew Pavlos 0.6% 1.1% 1.4% 1.8% 2.4% 3.5% 5.2% 9.3% 18.1% 49.2% 7.4% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.