Race 5B

north-fall-1

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Louis Padnos 26.8% 22.9% 18.4% 15.1% 8.6% 4.8% 2.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Jacob 23.4% 20.3% 17.7% 12.2% 12.6% 6.9% 4.4% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Boger 9.0% 9.4% 11.1% 13.6% 12.1% 14.8% 13.9% 10.2% 5.0% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Alden Sonnenfeldt 7.6% 8.5% 10.8% 11.2% 15.0% 14.3% 14.8% 10.9% 5.4% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Charles Peck 8.7% 10.6% 11.3% 13.1% 12.9% 12.7% 15.2% 10.0% 4.5% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Julia Paxton 9.1% 12.0% 11.5% 13.9% 13.2% 13.8% 12.5% 9.1% 3.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Luke Miller 3.7% 3.7% 3.4% 4.5% 5.9% 11.3% 12.2% 21.6% 22.4% 10.6% 0.7% 0.0%
Irene Jacqz 9.1% 9.0% 11.5% 12.1% 14.2% 13.3% 12.8% 11.7% 4.7% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0%
David Kagan 1.7% 2.3% 3.1% 2.3% 3.6% 4.8% 7.0% 15.7% 32.9% 23.0% 3.6% 0.0%
Matthew Pavlos 0.6% 1.2% 1.1% 1.9% 1.9% 3.0% 4.1% 7.8% 18.0% 53.2% 7.2% 0.0%
Matthew Pavlos 0.6% 1.2% 1.1% 1.9% 1.9% 3.0% 4.1% 7.8% 18.0% 53.2% 7.2% 0.0%
Dalton Winternheimer 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.3% 0.3% 0.7% 2.5% 7.2% 88.4% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.