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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.42+4.67vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+8.52vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.61+3.23vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.38+3.16vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.07+6.10vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.92+3.32vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.45+5.55vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.75-1.73vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.56-0.91vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.04-1.33vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.21-0.17vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-0.75vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston1.45-1.80vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.60-2.99vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.20-6.93vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.44-3.40vs Predicted
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17Harvard University1.90-7.12vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13-7.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.67Yale University2.4212.5%1st Place
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10.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.032.9%1st Place
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6.23Stanford University2.6110.8%1st Place
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7.16Cornell University2.388.8%1st Place
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11.1Bowdoin College2.073.5%1st Place
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9.32Brown University1.925.1%1st Place
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12.55University of Pennsylvania1.452.2%1st Place
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6.27Dartmouth College2.7510.3%1st Place
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8.09Boston College2.566.8%1st Place
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8.67U. S. Naval Academy2.046.2%1st Place
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10.83Tulane University2.213.1%1st Place
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11.25St. Mary's College of Maryland1.762.6%1st Place
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11.2College of Charleston1.453.6%1st Place
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11.01University of South Florida1.603.5%1st Place
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8.07Georgetown University2.207.8%1st Place
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12.6Tufts University1.442.6%1st Place
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9.88Harvard University1.904.3%1st Place
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10.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.133.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 12.5% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Emily Bornarth | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Bridget Green | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.1% |
| Caroline Bayless | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.8% |
| Madeleine Rice | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 18.5% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% |
| Madison Bashaw | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% |
| Grace Squires | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.3% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Chloe Holder | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 18.4% |
| Sarah Burn | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% |
| Dana Haig | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.