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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.07+9.79vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+8.15vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.04+5.60vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13+6.55vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.20+3.17vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.61+0.27vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+4.20vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.21+2.94vs Predicted
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9Harvard University1.90+0.59vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.75-3.69vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston1.45+0.21vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.44+0.89vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.56-4.93vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.45-1.41vs Predicted
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15Yale University2.42-9.28vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.38-8.66vs Predicted
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17Brown University1.92-7.37vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.60-7.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.79Bowdoin College2.074.3%1st Place
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10.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.034.0%1st Place
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8.6U. S. Naval Academy2.046.0%1st Place
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10.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.133.6%1st Place
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8.17Georgetown University2.206.5%1st Place
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6.27Stanford University2.6111.4%1st Place
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11.2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.763.8%1st Place
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10.94Tulane University2.213.2%1st Place
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9.59Harvard University1.904.5%1st Place
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6.31Dartmouth College2.7510.5%1st Place
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11.21College of Charleston1.453.1%1st Place
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12.89Tufts University1.442.1%1st Place
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8.07Boston College2.566.3%1st Place
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12.59University of Pennsylvania1.452.6%1st Place
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5.72Yale University2.4212.4%1st Place
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7.34Cornell University2.387.4%1st Place
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9.63Brown University1.924.9%1st Place
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10.97University of South Florida1.603.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% |
| Emily Bornarth | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Dana Haig | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 11.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Madison Bashaw | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.7% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Grace Squires | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 9.0% |
| Chloe Holder | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 19.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| Madeleine Rice | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 17.9% |
| Carmen Cowles | 12.4% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Bridget Green | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Bayless | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.