Race 6B

north-fall-1

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Robert Boger 7.4% 10.7% 11.9% 11.9% 13.6% 17.1% 14.1% 8.6% 3.4% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Jacob 23.1% 21.4% 16.3% 14.8% 10.8% 7.4% 3.5% 2.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Julia Paxton 9.8% 10.1% 11.1% 13.3% 13.5% 14.2% 13.6% 10.0% 3.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Louis Padnos 26.9% 22.2% 19.4% 12.1% 9.9% 5.0% 3.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alden Sonnenfeldt 8.7% 9.7% 12.2% 11.3% 12.0% 13.4% 14.3% 10.8% 6.5% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Charles Peck 8.8% 10.7% 10.0% 14.4% 12.4% 14.4% 12.8% 9.3% 5.9% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Irene Jacqz 9.3% 9.1% 11.5% 11.9% 14.1% 13.1% 13.9% 11.0% 4.6% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Luke Miller 3.2% 2.8% 3.9% 5.6% 7.0% 8.3% 12.0% 22.1% 22.7% 11.8% 0.6% 0.0%
Matthew Pavlos 0.9% 1.0% 1.4% 1.3% 2.2% 1.9% 3.7% 8.1% 18.2% 51.9% 9.4% 0.0%
Matthew Pavlos 0.9% 1.0% 1.4% 1.3% 2.2% 1.9% 3.7% 8.1% 18.2% 51.9% 9.4% 0.0%
David Kagan 1.6% 2.2% 2.3% 3.3% 4.2% 5.2% 8.5% 15.7% 32.7% 22.7% 1.6% 0.0%
Dalton Winternheimer 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.4% 0.9% 1.8% 7.8% 88.3% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.