Race 7B

north-fall-1

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Alex Jacob 20.3% 21.3% 16.6% 16.9% 11.5% 7.2% 4.2% 1.4% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Louis Padnos 30.0% 22.4% 16.6% 13.5% 9.3% 5.3% 2.1% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Julia Paxton 8.7% 10.0% 12.2% 12.9% 13.2% 14.6% 13.5% 10.3% 4.0% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Alden Sonnenfeldt 7.9% 7.5% 12.1% 10.9% 14.0% 14.6% 14.3% 11.9% 6.1% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Boger 9.4% 10.8% 13.3% 11.7% 13.1% 13.4% 14.1% 9.0% 4.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Charles Peck 9.1% 10.4% 11.1% 12.5% 12.8% 14.1% 12.8% 10.5% 5.3% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Luke Miller 3.2% 4.4% 3.6% 4.5% 6.9% 8.5% 13.0% 21.7% 21.5% 12.1% 0.6% 0.0%
David Kagan 2.4% 1.2% 2.3% 3.1% 3.7% 6.4% 8.5% 15.5% 30.4% 24.4% 2.1% 0.0%
Matthew Pavlos 0.8% 1.2% 0.7% 1.9% 2.0% 2.5% 3.5% 7.0% 20.0% 51.8% 8.6% 0.0%
Matthew Pavlos 0.8% 1.2% 0.7% 1.9% 2.0% 2.5% 3.5% 7.0% 20.0% 51.8% 8.6% 0.0%
Dalton Winternheimer 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.6% 2.5% 7.4% 88.4% 0.0%
Irene Jacqz 8.1% 10.6% 11.5% 12.0% 13.3% 13.0% 13.9% 11.6% 4.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.