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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.20+7.21vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.56+6.30vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.90+6.63vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.42+1.59vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.61+1.10vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.75+0.22vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.07+3.99vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.77+2.21vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston1.45+2.28vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+1.43vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.38-3.74vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.92-2.29vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.04-4.62vs Predicted
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14Tulane University2.21-3.17vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.44-1.79vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13-5.46vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.44-4.32vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-7.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.21Georgetown University2.207.2%1st Place
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8.3Boston College2.567.5%1st Place
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9.63Harvard University1.904.8%1st Place
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5.59Yale University2.4213.2%1st Place
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6.1Stanford University2.6111.2%1st Place
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6.22Dartmouth College2.7510.4%1st Place
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10.99Bowdoin College2.073.2%1st Place
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10.21University of Pennsylvania1.773.8%1st Place
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11.28College of Charleston1.452.5%1st Place
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11.43St. Mary's College of Maryland1.762.4%1st Place
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7.26Cornell University2.387.8%1st Place
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9.71Brown University1.925.1%1st Place
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8.38U. S. Naval Academy2.046.6%1st Place
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10.83Tulane University2.213.2%1st Place
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13.21University of South Florida1.442.0%1st Place
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10.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.133.6%1st Place
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12.68Tufts University1.442.1%1st Place
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10.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.033.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% |
| Carmen Cowles | 13.2% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 11.2% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% |
| Grace Squires | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.3% |
| Bridget Green | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Caroline Bayless | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 2.2% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 6.7% |
| Sydney Monahan | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 22.4% |
| Dana Haig | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% |
| Chloe Holder | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 17.1% |
| Emily Bornarth | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.