Race 8B

north-fall-1

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Alex Jacob 20.5% 20.2% 17.9% 16.2% 10.6% 9.1% 3.4% 1.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Julia Paxton 9.7% 11.3% 11.8% 13.1% 13.9% 14.2% 11.9% 8.7% 4.6% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Alden Sonnenfeldt 8.5% 8.5% 8.8% 13.1% 12.7% 14.2% 15.5% 12.3% 5.3% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Louis Padnos 26.7% 22.6% 19.6% 13.0% 9.3% 4.7% 3.1% 0.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Boger 10.4% 11.0% 11.6% 11.9% 13.1% 12.1% 14.8% 9.0% 5.2% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Irene Jacqz 7.4% 10.5% 10.3% 11.0% 14.8% 13.5% 14.0% 10.5% 6.4% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Charles Peck 10.6% 10.2% 11.8% 12.0% 14.0% 13.7% 12.6% 10.2% 3.4% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0%
David Kagan 1.9% 1.7% 2.6% 2.4% 4.1% 6.7% 9.0% 15.6% 30.2% 24.2% 1.6% 0.0%
Matthew Pavlos 0.9% 1.1% 1.2% 1.8% 2.0% 2.3% 3.1% 8.5% 17.8% 52.0% 9.3% 0.0%
Luke Miller 3.2% 2.7% 4.4% 5.1% 5.5% 9.5% 12.4% 21.5% 24.4% 10.7% 0.6% 0.0%
Matthew Pavlos 0.9% 1.1% 1.2% 1.8% 2.0% 2.3% 3.1% 8.5% 17.8% 52.0% 9.3% 0.0%
Dalton Winternheimer 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 1.4% 1.9% 7.3% 88.4% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.