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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.75+5.34vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.56+5.92vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.04+5.72vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.20+3.95vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.42+0.89vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.21+4.80vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston1.45+4.31vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13+2.54vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.38-1.73vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.07+0.89vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania1.77-0.58vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.61-5.81vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.92-3.27vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-2.88vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.44-1.79vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.44-3.44vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-6.55vs Predicted
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18Harvard University1.90-8.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.34Dartmouth College2.7510.5%1st Place
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7.92Boston College2.567.1%1st Place
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8.72U. S. Naval Academy2.045.9%1st Place
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7.95Georgetown University2.206.2%1st Place
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5.89Yale University2.4211.8%1st Place
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10.8Tulane University2.213.5%1st Place
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11.31College of Charleston1.453.4%1st Place
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10.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.134.0%1st Place
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7.27Cornell University2.387.2%1st Place
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10.89Bowdoin College2.074.0%1st Place
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10.42University of Pennsylvania1.773.2%1st Place
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6.19Stanford University2.6111.2%1st Place
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9.73Brown University1.925.1%1st Place
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11.12St. Mary's College of Maryland1.764.2%1st Place
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13.21University of South Florida1.441.6%1st Place
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12.56Tufts University1.442.8%1st Place
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10.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.033.5%1st Place
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9.68Harvard University1.904.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 11.8% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% |
| Grace Squires | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.5% |
| Dana Haig | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% |
| Bridget Green | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% |
| Sofia Segalla | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Bayless | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% |
| Sydney Monahan | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 23.1% |
| Chloe Holder | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 16.9% |
| Emily Bornarth | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.5% |
| Sarah Burn | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.