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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.70+7.51vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University4.31+4.25vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University3.92+4.89vs Predicted
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4Brown University4.25+2.70vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.43+0.83vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.62+2.12vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.68+0.79vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-1.20vs Predicted
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10Harvard University4.17-2.94vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont3.62-2.15vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.70+0.36vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut2.62-0.50vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53-4.52vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.53-2.10vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College4.05-8.68vs Predicted
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17Yale University4.19-10.07vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire1.81-3.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.51Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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6.25Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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7.89Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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6.7Brown University4.250.1%1st Place
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5.83Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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9.12University of Rhode Island3.620.0%1st Place
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8.79Connecticut College3.680.0%1st Place
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7.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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7.06Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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8.85University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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12.36Bowdoin College2.700.0%1st Place
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12.5University of Connecticut2.620.0%1st Place
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9.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.0%1st Place
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12.9Boston University2.530.0%1st Place
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7.32Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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6.93Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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14.71University of New Hampshire1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Massimo Soriano | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Sean Bouchard | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| William Brown | 10.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Anne Haeger | 12.4% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Carmody | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Maggie Shea | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Andrew Sommer | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| John Stokes | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Coleman Bowen | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Billy Rohman | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 13.8% | 18.1% | 13.1% |
| Peter Giuliano | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 13.5% | 20.5% | 13.0% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% |
| Mathew Renik | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 19.1% | 18.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Joseph Morris | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Neal Drake | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 15.5% | 46.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.