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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.38+5.23vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.40+3.27vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute1.30+5.41vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.60+1.33vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.44+5.06vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+0.35vs Predicted
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7Columbia University0.44+6.18vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.59+0.57vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.98-1.36vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99+1.13vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania1.77-3.90vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-4.44vs Predicted
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13Washington College0.19+1.50vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech0.67-2.52vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College0.50-2.60vs Predicted
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16Penn State University0.27-2.44vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University0.60-4.65vs Predicted
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18Hampton University0.58-8.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.23Cornell University2.3810.2%1st Place
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5.27Georgetown University2.4013.6%1st Place
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8.41Webb Institute1.305.2%1st Place
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5.33U. S. Naval Academy2.6012.8%1st Place
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10.06George Washington University1.443.5%1st Place
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6.35St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5710.4%1st Place
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13.18Columbia University0.441.5%1st Place
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8.57Old Dominion University1.594.3%1st Place
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7.64Fordham University1.986.4%1st Place
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11.13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.992.7%1st Place
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7.1University of Pennsylvania1.778.7%1st Place
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7.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.777.4%1st Place
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14.5Washington College0.190.9%1st Place
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11.48Virginia Tech0.673.1%1st Place
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12.4SUNY Maritime College0.502.0%1st Place
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13.56Penn State University0.271.4%1st Place
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12.35Christopher Newport University0.602.1%1st Place
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9.87Hampton University0.583.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 13.6% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Everett Botwinick | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Nathan Smith | 12.8% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 2.5% |
| Owen Hennessey | 10.4% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 15.8% |
| Diogo Silva | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Jacob Zils | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Reed McAllister | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% |
| Sofia Segalla | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 16.4% | 28.4% |
| James Lilyquist | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.9% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 10.4% |
| Joseph Murphy | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 15.0% | 18.1% |
| Aston Atherton | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 10.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.