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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13+9.60vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.77+8.43vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.61+3.30vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.56+4.20vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+5.57vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.21+5.00vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.42-1.28vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.44+4.39vs Predicted
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9Harvard University1.90+0.66vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.44+3.37vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.04-2.26vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.38-4.54vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston1.45-1.75vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.04-5.41vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.75-8.83vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-4.67vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.07-5.98vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University2.20-9.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.133.5%1st Place
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10.43University of Pennsylvania1.773.6%1st Place
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6.3Stanford University2.6110.8%1st Place
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8.2Boston College2.566.5%1st Place
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10.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.033.4%1st Place
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11.0Tulane University2.213.0%1st Place
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5.72Yale University2.4212.0%1st Place
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12.39Tufts University1.442.7%1st Place
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9.66Harvard University1.905.4%1st Place
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13.37University of South Florida1.442.2%1st Place
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8.74U. S. Naval Academy2.046.3%1st Place
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7.46Cornell University2.387.6%1st Place
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11.25College of Charleston1.453.2%1st Place
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8.59Brown University2.045.9%1st Place
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6.17Dartmouth College2.7511.5%1st Place
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11.33St. Mary's College of Maryland1.763.1%1st Place
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11.02Bowdoin College2.072.9%1st Place
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8.2Georgetown University2.206.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Haig | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% |
| Sofia Segalla | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.8% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 10.8% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% |
| Emily Bornarth | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 5.9% |
| Carmen Cowles | 12.0% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Chloe Holder | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 16.4% |
| Sarah Burn | 5.4% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% |
| Sydney Monahan | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 24.6% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Bridget Green | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Grace Squires | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.5% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Madison Bashaw | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.8% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.