Race 9B

north-fall-1

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Louis Padnos 26.3% 21.7% 20.5% 12.1% 8.7% 5.5% 2.7% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Jacob 20.3% 19.9% 16.3% 14.1% 11.1% 7.7% 6.6% 2.6% 1.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Charles Peck 9.3% 7.7% 11.2% 10.4% 10.4% 14.3% 12.9% 11.7% 8.3% 3.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Alden Sonnenfeldt 6.1% 10.8% 10.6% 12.0% 12.1% 12.8% 10.9% 12.0% 8.2% 3.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Robert Boger 9.4% 9.7% 10.5% 13.0% 12.1% 12.6% 11.0% 10.2% 6.9% 4.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Julia Paxton 10.1% 9.7% 9.7% 12.0% 13.7% 12.8% 11.8% 9.6% 7.3% 3.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Dylan Froriep 4.7% 5.4% 5.1% 7.0% 8.6% 9.5% 11.3% 15.2% 16.1% 12.5% 4.3% 0.3% 0.0%
David Kagan 1.4% 1.6% 2.2% 4.3% 3.6% 4.0% 6.2% 8.6% 14.1% 28.3% 23.6% 2.1% 0.0%
Luke Miller 2.5% 2.8% 2.9% 3.9% 6.2% 7.7% 10.5% 11.9% 21.1% 20.9% 9.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Irene Jacqz 8.5% 9.8% 9.8% 10.4% 11.6% 11.3% 13.0% 11.8% 8.5% 4.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Matthew Pavlos 1.2% 0.8% 1.0% 0.7% 1.8% 1.6% 2.7% 4.4% 6.7% 17.4% 54.0% 7.7% 0.0%
Matthew Pavlos 1.2% 0.8% 1.0% 0.7% 1.8% 1.6% 2.7% 4.4% 6.7% 17.4% 54.0% 7.7% 0.0%
Dalton Winternheimer 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 1.0% 2.0% 6.0% 89.4% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.