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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.21+9.72vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.20+6.17vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+8.21vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.38+3.22vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.77+5.44vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.56+2.17vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.42-1.20vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13+2.78vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.07+2.16vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.44+3.13vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-0.49vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.44+0.70vs Predicted
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13Harvard University1.90-3.57vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.61-7.68vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.04-6.25vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.75-9.65vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston1.45-5.51vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy2.04-9.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.72Tulane University2.213.1%1st Place
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8.17Georgetown University2.207.4%1st Place
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11.21St. Mary's College of Maryland1.763.2%1st Place
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7.22Cornell University2.389.0%1st Place
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10.44University of Pennsylvania1.773.3%1st Place
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8.17Boston College2.566.7%1st Place
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5.8Yale University2.4212.1%1st Place
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10.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.133.8%1st Place
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11.16Bowdoin College2.073.8%1st Place
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13.13University of South Florida1.441.5%1st Place
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10.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.034.1%1st Place
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12.7Tufts University1.442.6%1st Place
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9.43Harvard University1.905.3%1st Place
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6.32Stanford University2.6110.5%1st Place
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8.75Brown University2.045.1%1st Place
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6.35Dartmouth College2.7510.3%1st Place
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11.49College of Charleston1.452.9%1st Place
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8.66U. S. Naval Academy2.045.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Madison Bashaw | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% |
| Bridget Green | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Sofia Segalla | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.6% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Carmen Cowles | 12.1% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Dana Haig | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% |
| Sydney Monahan | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 13.3% | 22.4% |
| Emily Bornarth | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% |
| Chloe Holder | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 18.6% |
| Sarah Burn | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Grace Squires | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 9.4% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.