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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+3.06vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.40+4.96vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.79+6.30vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.09+7.17vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.55+0.73vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.87+2.33vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.84+2.04vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61+4.44vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University1.37+1.79vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.79-1.24vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston1.81-2.83vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-3.03vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania1.72-3.42vs Predicted
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14Tulane University1.73-4.84vs Predicted
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15Brown University1.80-3.15vs Predicted
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16Tufts University0.69-3.34vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy0.52-3.71vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-7.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.06Stanford University3.3020.4%1st Place
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6.96Boston College2.409.1%1st Place
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9.3Harvard University1.795.1%1st Place
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11.17University of South Florida1.092.9%1st Place
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5.73Yale University2.5511.7%1st Place
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8.33Dartmouth College1.875.1%1st Place
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9.04Bowdoin College1.845.2%1st Place
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12.44St. Mary's College of Maryland0.612.9%1st Place
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10.79Georgetown University1.372.9%1st Place
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8.76Cornell University1.795.7%1st Place
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8.17College of Charleston1.816.4%1st Place
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8.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.634.5%1st Place
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9.58University of Pennsylvania1.724.0%1st Place
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9.16Tulane University1.734.4%1st Place
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11.85Brown University1.802.4%1st Place
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12.66Tufts University0.692.2%1st Place
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13.29U. S. Naval Academy0.521.8%1st Place
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10.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.603.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
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Vanessa Lahrkamp | 20.4% | 17.9% | 14.9% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Michaela O'Brien | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
Marbella Marlo | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
Emma Shakespeare | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% |
Emma Cowles | 11.7% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Gray Hemans | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
Lauren Russler | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
Lily Flack | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 16.7% |
Riley Kloc | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% |
Sophia Devling | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
Emma Tallman | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
Lucy Brock | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
Torrey Chisari | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
Caroline Benson | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
Blaire McCarthy | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 10.7% |
Samantha Jensen | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 17.9% |
Aubin Hattendorf | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 23.4% |
Emma Snead | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.