Race 11B

north-fall-1

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Charles Peck 7.8% 9.6% 12.2% 14.9% 14.6% 14.9% 12.2% 9.5% 3.4% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Louis Padnos 29.8% 24.1% 19.6% 11.9% 8.5% 3.9% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Julia Paxton 9.4% 10.6% 14.3% 13.2% 13.6% 14.3% 13.1% 7.9% 2.9% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Alden Sonnenfeldt 8.2% 10.1% 10.6% 14.0% 15.7% 13.7% 13.0% 8.5% 5.2% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Jacob 22.9% 23.8% 17.0% 14.0% 9.9% 6.4% 3.6% 2.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Irene Jacqz 8.9% 9.6% 12.3% 13.0% 15.4% 12.1% 12.0% 9.8% 5.5% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Dylan Froriep 6.3% 5.8% 6.1% 9.0% 9.5% 14.5% 15.4% 15.4% 13.0% 5.0% 0.0% 0.0%
David Kagan 2.4% 2.1% 2.0% 3.5% 4.2% 7.3% 10.3% 15.6% 26.8% 23.4% 2.4% 0.0%
Luke Miller 3.0% 3.5% 4.4% 5.1% 5.8% 9.8% 12.7% 21.3% 21.0% 11.5% 1.9% 0.0%
Matthew Pavlos 1.0% 0.7% 1.5% 1.3% 2.5% 3.1% 5.8% 8.4% 19.1% 49.2% 7.4% 0.0%
Matthew Pavlos 1.0% 0.7% 1.5% 1.3% 2.5% 3.1% 5.8% 8.4% 19.1% 49.2% 7.4% 0.0%
Dalton Winternheimer 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.4% 1.1% 2.5% 7.0% 88.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.