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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+3.01vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.81+6.33vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.40+4.03vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.55+1.82vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.84+4.00vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.87+2.54vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy0.52+6.42vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+0.92vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University1.37+1.69vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.79-1.39vs Predicted
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11Tulane University1.73-2.04vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-1.41vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.80-1.02vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.72-4.40vs Predicted
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15Harvard University1.79-5.96vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.09-4.93vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61-4.29vs Predicted
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18Tufts University0.69-5.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.01Stanford University3.3021.4%1st Place
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8.33College of Charleston1.815.5%1st Place
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7.03Boston College2.408.2%1st Place
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5.82Yale University2.5511.2%1st Place
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9.0Bowdoin College1.844.2%1st Place
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8.54Dartmouth College1.875.0%1st Place
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13.42U. S. Naval Academy0.521.8%1st Place
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8.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.635.3%1st Place
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10.69Georgetown University1.373.5%1st Place
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8.61Cornell University1.795.5%1st Place
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8.96Tulane University1.735.8%1st Place
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10.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.603.6%1st Place
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11.98Brown University1.802.2%1st Place
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9.6University of Pennsylvania1.724.3%1st Place
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9.04Harvard University1.795.9%1st Place
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11.07University of South Florida1.092.6%1st Place
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12.71St. Mary's College of Maryland0.611.9%1st Place
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12.68Tufts University0.692.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
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Vanessa Lahrkamp | 21.4% | 17.2% | 14.4% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Emma Tallman | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
Michaela O'Brien | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
Emma Cowles | 11.2% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Lauren Russler | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
Gray Hemans | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
Aubin Hattendorf | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 13.7% | 24.9% |
Lucy Brock | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% |
Riley Kloc | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% |
Sophia Devling | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
Caroline Benson | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
Emma Snead | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% |
Blaire McCarthy | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 12.1% |
Torrey Chisari | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.8% |
Marbella Marlo | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
Emma Shakespeare | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.0% |
Lily Flack | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 15.6% |
Samantha Jensen | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 17.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.