Race 12B

north-fall-1

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Julia Paxton 8.9% 11.6% 13.1% 15.1% 14.8% 14.5% 12.0% 6.2% 3.1% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Louis Padnos 29.9% 24.0% 18.7% 12.6% 8.3% 3.5% 2.3% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charles Peck 8.4% 9.7% 12.5% 11.7% 14.7% 14.3% 13.4% 10.5% 4.1% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Alden Sonnenfeldt 8.6% 9.6% 9.5% 14.8% 13.1% 15.7% 12.4% 10.9% 4.4% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Jacob 23.0% 22.7% 18.5% 12.6% 10.5% 6.5% 4.2% 1.4% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
David Kagan 1.1% 1.8% 2.7% 3.4% 4.5% 6.0% 9.2% 15.4% 28.1% 26.0% 1.8% 0.0%
Dylan Froriep 6.5% 5.1% 6.9% 8.2% 10.0% 13.3% 16.9% 15.9% 13.0% 4.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Irene Jacqz 9.7% 9.9% 12.8% 13.9% 14.1% 13.3% 11.9% 8.7% 4.6% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Pavlos 0.8% 1.4% 0.9% 2.1% 1.9% 3.3% 4.6% 8.1% 17.4% 50.6% 8.9% 0.0%
Luke Miller 2.8% 4.1% 4.3% 5.5% 8.0% 9.2% 13.0% 21.6% 21.9% 9.0% 0.6% 0.0%
Matthew Pavlos 0.8% 1.4% 0.9% 2.1% 1.9% 3.3% 4.6% 8.1% 17.4% 50.6% 8.9% 0.0%
Dalton Winternheimer 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.6% 2.8% 6.9% 88.5% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.