← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Vanessa Lahrkamp 21.4% 17.2% 14.4% 12.4% 9.3% 6.3% 5.7% 5.1% 2.8% 1.8% 1.3% 1.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Emma Tallman 5.5% 6.9% 6.3% 6.3% 6.9% 7.8% 6.5% 6.2% 6.2% 6.5% 6.1% 6.5% 6.0% 5.0% 4.7% 4.0% 1.9% 0.8%
Michaela O'Brien 8.2% 8.6% 7.6% 9.0% 7.5% 8.6% 7.5% 7.4% 6.8% 6.8% 5.3% 4.7% 3.4% 3.3% 2.4% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3%
Emma Cowles 11.2% 11.2% 11.1% 10.4% 9.6% 8.6% 7.0% 6.5% 5.7% 5.7% 4.0% 3.4% 2.0% 1.8% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1%
Lauren Russler 4.2% 5.4% 5.3% 5.4% 7.6% 5.6% 7.0% 6.9% 6.5% 5.8% 6.6% 6.6% 6.7% 5.5% 5.5% 4.7% 3.5% 1.2%
Gray Hemans 5.0% 5.3% 6.8% 6.4% 5.7% 8.2% 7.7% 7.2% 6.9% 6.2% 5.9% 4.8% 6.2% 5.6% 4.2% 3.9% 3.0% 1.3%
Aubin Hattendorf 1.8% 1.7% 2.2% 2.5% 2.0% 2.1% 2.8% 3.1% 3.0% 3.1% 4.8% 4.9% 5.5% 6.2% 6.7% 9.0% 13.7% 24.9%
Lucy Brock 5.3% 5.0% 4.9% 6.4% 6.2% 6.2% 6.9% 6.2% 6.4% 7.1% 7.4% 6.0% 6.5% 5.1% 5.8% 4.0% 2.7% 2.0%
Riley Kloc 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 3.0% 4.2% 4.3% 5.0% 4.6% 6.4% 5.5% 5.5% 6.8% 6.9% 7.3% 8.2% 7.0% 7.4% 5.9%
Sophia Devling 5.5% 5.1% 6.9% 6.7% 7.0% 6.0% 6.2% 6.3% 7.1% 6.1% 6.8% 5.7% 5.9% 5.5% 5.1% 3.8% 2.8% 1.5%
Caroline Benson 5.8% 5.9% 4.6% 5.5% 4.7% 7.2% 6.2% 7.3% 6.2% 6.7% 5.3% 6.3% 7.0% 6.4% 6.2% 3.6% 3.5% 1.5%
Emma Snead 3.6% 3.0% 3.7% 4.0% 4.8% 5.7% 4.2% 4.8% 5.5% 6.0% 6.7% 7.7% 6.8% 7.2% 7.2% 7.4% 6.4% 5.3%
Blaire McCarthy 2.2% 2.5% 3.0% 2.8% 3.6% 2.9% 3.9% 4.7% 5.1% 4.9% 5.0% 5.8% 6.0% 8.0% 8.0% 9.6% 10.2% 12.1%
Torrey Chisari 4.3% 4.4% 4.7% 5.4% 5.7% 5.3% 5.6% 6.2% 5.9% 6.9% 6.6% 7.4% 6.7% 5.9% 5.1% 6.6% 4.6% 2.8%
Marbella Marlo 5.9% 5.1% 5.1% 5.6% 6.3% 5.3% 6.4% 6.9% 7.0% 6.2% 6.2% 5.9% 5.8% 6.3% 6.1% 4.9% 3.5% 1.8%
Emma Shakespeare 2.6% 3.5% 3.9% 3.8% 4.0% 4.0% 4.5% 4.5% 5.1% 5.5% 6.6% 6.3% 6.6% 6.6% 8.5% 9.0% 8.8% 6.0%
Lily Flack 1.9% 2.5% 2.3% 2.1% 2.4% 2.9% 3.6% 3.5% 3.5% 4.3% 5.6% 5.3% 5.8% 6.6% 8.2% 10.1% 13.8% 15.6%
Samantha Jensen 2.0% 2.9% 2.6% 2.2% 2.7% 2.6% 3.5% 2.5% 4.0% 5.0% 4.2% 5.1% 5.6% 7.6% 7.0% 10.1% 13.2% 17.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.