Race 13B

north-fall-1

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Irene Jacqz 6.9% 11.3% 9.0% 13.5% 16.5% 15.7% 13.8% 8.8% 3.7% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Charles Peck 9.1% 10.8% 13.3% 14.7% 12.8% 15.3% 12.4% 8.0% 3.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Louis Padnos 27.9% 25.0% 18.8% 12.3% 8.2% 5.2% 1.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Jacob 24.3% 18.9% 18.5% 16.1% 11.0% 5.6% 3.8% 1.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alden Sonnenfeldt 10.1% 9.9% 12.5% 12.6% 14.8% 13.8% 11.6% 9.0% 5.0% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Douglas Zangre 3.0% 4.4% 5.6% 4.8% 7.7% 11.2% 14.9% 20.2% 18.3% 9.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Julia Paxton 12.7% 13.5% 12.9% 15.0% 14.0% 12.5% 10.0% 5.8% 3.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Luke Miller 3.3% 3.1% 4.5% 5.5% 9.0% 11.9% 13.9% 19.3% 18.5% 10.4% 0.6% 0.0%
David Kagan 1.8% 2.1% 3.3% 3.2% 4.0% 5.4% 10.8% 16.3% 28.0% 21.6% 3.5% 0.0%
Matthew Pavlos 0.7% 0.9% 1.5% 2.1% 1.8% 3.2% 6.6% 9.7% 17.8% 48.3% 7.4% 0.0%
Matthew Pavlos 0.7% 0.9% 1.5% 2.1% 1.8% 3.2% 6.6% 9.7% 17.8% 48.3% 7.4% 0.0%
Dalton Winternheimer 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 1.1% 1.5% 8.0% 88.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.