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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+3.03vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.80+10.11vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.10+4.63vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.84+4.98vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.55+0.78vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.87+2.67vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.09+4.01vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston1.81+0.12vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+0.04vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.88-0.16vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University1.37-0.24vs Predicted
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12Tulane University1.73-3.03vs Predicted
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13Tufts University0.69-0.46vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61-1.21vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania1.72-5.37vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-5.45vs Predicted
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17Boston College2.40-9.99vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy0.52-4.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.03Stanford University3.3020.0%1st Place
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12.11Brown University1.802.5%1st Place
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7.63Harvard University2.107.6%1st Place
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8.98Bowdoin College1.844.9%1st Place
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5.78Yale University2.5511.7%1st Place
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8.67Dartmouth College1.875.7%1st Place
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11.01University of South Florida1.093.5%1st Place
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8.12College of Charleston1.816.0%1st Place
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9.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.635.5%1st Place
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9.84Cornell University1.883.4%1st Place
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10.76Georgetown University1.373.1%1st Place
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8.97Tulane University1.734.0%1st Place
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12.54Tufts University0.692.2%1st Place
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12.79St. Mary's College of Maryland0.611.8%1st Place
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9.63University of Pennsylvania1.724.5%1st Place
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10.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.603.0%1st Place
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7.01Boston College2.408.8%1st Place
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13.54U. S. Naval Academy0.521.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 20.0% | 16.8% | 15.7% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 12.8% |
| Cordelia Burn | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Lauren Russler | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Emma Cowles | 11.7% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Gray Hemans | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% |
| Emma Tallman | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Meredith Moran | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% |
| Riley Kloc | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 5.5% |
| Caroline Benson | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 14.6% |
| Lily Flack | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 17.6% |
| Torrey Chisari | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Emma Snead | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 23.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.