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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University0.88+3.16vs Predicted
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2William and Mary1.20+1.71vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.60+0.18vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.11-1.53vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.24-1.24vs Predicted
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6Queen's University1.19-2.22vs Predicted
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7Penn State University-3.26-0.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.16Princeton University0.880.1%1st Place
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3.71William and Mary1.200.1%1st Place
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3.18Cornell University1.600.2%1st Place
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2.47Fordham University2.110.3%1st Place
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3.76George Washington University1.240.1%1st Place
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3.78Queen's University1.190.1%1st Place
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6.94Penn State University-3.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Cobbs | 10.9% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 15.7% | 22.1% | 28.2% | 0.9% |
| Derrill Hagood | 12.6% | 14.7% | 17.0% | 18.7% | 19.2% | 17.1% | 0.7% |
| Hillary Paulsen | 19.3% | 19.5% | 18.6% | 19.2% | 13.6% | 9.7% | 0.1% |
| Mia Cooper | 33.1% | 23.8% | 19.7% | 12.6% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 0.1% |
| Alex Hitchcock | 11.8% | 16.7% | 15.9% | 17.1% | 17.4% | 20.3% | 0.8% |
| Heather Richardson | 12.3% | 14.8% | 16.6% | 16.5% | 19.1% | 20.3% | 0.4% |
| Lauren Thompson | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 97.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.