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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+3.09vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University1.37+8.82vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.10+4.80vs Predicted
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4Tulane University1.73+5.04vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.40+2.29vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.72+3.64vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.84+1.99vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+2.71vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-0.85vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College1.87-1.25vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston1.81-2.79vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.09-0.90vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.88-3.21vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.55-8.24vs Predicted
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15Brown University1.80-3.03vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61-3.27vs Predicted
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17Tufts University0.69-4.38vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy0.52-4.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.09Stanford University3.3019.6%1st Place
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10.82Georgetown University1.373.1%1st Place
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7.8Harvard University2.106.8%1st Place
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9.04Tulane University1.735.3%1st Place
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7.29Boston College2.408.0%1st Place
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9.64University of Pennsylvania1.723.8%1st Place
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8.99Bowdoin College1.844.5%1st Place
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10.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.603.5%1st Place
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8.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.775.5%1st Place
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8.75Dartmouth College1.875.6%1st Place
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8.21College of Charleston1.817.2%1st Place
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11.1University of South Florida1.092.9%1st Place
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9.79Cornell University1.884.2%1st Place
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5.76Yale University2.5511.2%1st Place
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11.97Brown University1.802.5%1st Place
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12.73St. Mary's College of Maryland0.612.4%1st Place
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12.62Tufts University0.692.4%1st Place
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13.52U. S. Naval Academy0.521.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 19.6% | 17.3% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Kloc | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% |
| Cordelia Burn | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Caroline Benson | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Torrey Chisari | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
| Lauren Russler | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Emma Snead | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.2% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Gray Hemans | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Emma Tallman | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% |
| Meredith Moran | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% |
| Emma Cowles | 11.2% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 12.3% |
| Lily Flack | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 17.6% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 16.8% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 15.2% | 22.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.