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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.60+2.11vs Predicted
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2Queen's University1.19+1.72vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.11-0.56vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.24-0.26vs Predicted
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5William and Mary1.20-1.18vs Predicted
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6Princeton University0.88-1.78vs Predicted
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7Penn State University-3.26-0.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.11Cornell University1.600.2%1st Place
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3.72Queen's University1.190.1%1st Place
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2.44Fordham University2.110.3%1st Place
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3.74George Washington University1.240.1%1st Place
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3.82William and Mary1.200.1%1st Place
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4.22Princeton University0.880.1%1st Place
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6.94Penn State University-3.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hillary Paulsen | 21.1% | 20.6% | 18.1% | 17.0% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 0.4% |
| Heather Richardson | 12.8% | 14.2% | 16.4% | 19.2% | 20.0% | 16.8% | 0.6% |
| Mia Cooper | 32.2% | 27.5% | 17.7% | 12.7% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Alex Hitchcock | 12.3% | 14.6% | 16.6% | 18.1% | 20.6% | 17.3% | 0.5% |
| Derrill Hagood | 12.2% | 12.4% | 17.5% | 18.0% | 19.2% | 19.9% | 0.8% |
| Lucy Cobbs | 9.4% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 14.5% | 20.1% | 31.1% | 0.9% |
| Lauren Thompson | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 96.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.