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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.40+6.17vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+5.96vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.10+4.71vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.30+0.16vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.55+0.96vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.73+3.11vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.09+3.93vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy0.52+5.41vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.88+0.71vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College1.87-1.26vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.80+0.95vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.84-3.01vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-2.34vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston1.81-5.48vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University1.37-4.39vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania1.72-6.26vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61-4.05vs Predicted
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18Tufts University0.69-5.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.17Boston College2.407.4%1st Place
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7.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.776.6%1st Place
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7.71Harvard University2.107.0%1st Place
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4.16Stanford University3.3020.3%1st Place
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5.96Yale University2.5511.8%1st Place
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9.11Tulane University1.734.8%1st Place
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10.93University of South Florida1.093.5%1st Place
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13.41U. S. Naval Academy0.521.5%1st Place
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9.71Cornell University1.884.0%1st Place
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8.74Dartmouth College1.875.5%1st Place
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11.95Brown University1.802.2%1st Place
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8.99Bowdoin College1.844.9%1st Place
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10.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.603.1%1st Place
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8.52College of Charleston1.815.0%1st Place
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10.61Georgetown University1.373.5%1st Place
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9.74University of Pennsylvania1.725.1%1st Place
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12.95St. Mary's College of Maryland0.611.9%1st Place
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12.71Tufts University0.691.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michaela O'Brien | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Cordelia Burn | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 20.3% | 15.1% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 11.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Benson | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 5.7% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 14.3% | 22.8% |
| Meredith Moran | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% |
| Gray Hemans | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 11.9% |
| Lauren Russler | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Emma Snead | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% |
| Emma Tallman | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Riley Kloc | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 4.9% |
| Torrey Chisari | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Lily Flack | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 19.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 17.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.