← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bowdoin College1.84+8.03vs Predicted
-
2Cornell University1.88+7.81vs Predicted
-
3Tulane University1.73+6.01vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston1.81+4.21vs Predicted
-
5Stanford University3.30-0.96vs Predicted
-
6Boston College2.40+1.16vs Predicted
-
7Yale University2.55-1.16vs Predicted
-
8Dartmouth College1.87+0.78vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University0.69+3.60vs Predicted
-
10Brown University1.80+1.80vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-0.36vs Predicted
-
12University of Pennsylvania1.72-2.37vs Predicted
-
13Harvard University2.10-5.44vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-5.91vs Predicted
-
15University of South Florida1.09-3.95vs Predicted
-
16St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61-2.97vs Predicted
-
17Georgetown University1.37-5.98vs Predicted
-
18U. S. Naval Academy0.52-4.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.03Bowdoin College1.845.5%1st Place
-
9.81Cornell University1.884.7%1st Place
-
9.01Tulane University1.735.1%1st Place
-
8.21College of Charleston1.815.5%1st Place
-
4.04Stanford University3.3021.6%1st Place
-
7.16Boston College2.407.5%1st Place
-
5.84Yale University2.5510.7%1st Place
-
8.78Dartmouth College1.874.9%1st Place
-
12.6Tufts University0.692.2%1st Place
-
11.8Brown University1.802.7%1st Place
-
10.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.603.5%1st Place
-
9.63University of Pennsylvania1.723.1%1st Place
-
7.56Harvard University2.107.2%1st Place
-
8.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.775.9%1st Place
-
11.05University of South Florida1.092.8%1st Place
-
13.03St. Mary's College of Maryland0.611.6%1st Place
-
11.02Georgetown University1.373.5%1st Place
-
13.74U. S. Naval Academy0.521.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Russler | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Meredith Moran | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% |
| Caroline Benson | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Emma Tallman | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 21.6% | 17.6% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Emma Cowles | 10.7% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gray Hemans | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 16.8% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 11.5% |
| Emma Snead | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 5.9% |
| Torrey Chisari | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Cordelia Burn | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% |
| Lily Flack | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 17.0% |
| Riley Kloc | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.0% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 25.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.