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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1William and Mary1.20+2.65vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.11+0.46vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.60+0.18vs Predicted
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4Queen's University1.19-0.17vs Predicted
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5Princeton University0.88-0.74vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.24-2.32vs Predicted
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7Penn State University-3.26-0.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.65William and Mary1.200.1%1st Place
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2.46Fordham University2.110.3%1st Place
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3.18Cornell University1.600.2%1st Place
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3.83Queen's University1.190.1%1st Place
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4.26Princeton University0.880.1%1st Place
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3.68George Washington University1.240.1%1st Place
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6.94Penn State University-3.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrill Hagood | 14.9% | 14.6% | 16.3% | 17.9% | 18.4% | 17.4% | 0.5% |
| Mia Cooper | 31.4% | 27.6% | 19.0% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Hillary Paulsen | 18.9% | 18.1% | 21.6% | 17.9% | 14.4% | 8.8% | 0.3% |
| Heather Richardson | 12.8% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 19.5% | 19.4% | 20.2% | 0.6% |
| Lucy Cobbs | 8.6% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 16.0% | 21.6% | 29.3% | 1.6% |
| Alex Hitchcock | 13.4% | 16.5% | 15.5% | 17.1% | 18.5% | 18.8% | 0.2% |
| Lauren Thompson | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 96.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.