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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.11+1.41vs Predicted
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2Queen's University1.19+1.73vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.60+0.18vs Predicted
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4William and Mary1.20-0.22vs Predicted
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5Princeton University0.88-0.75vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.24-2.30vs Predicted
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7Penn State University-3.26-0.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.41Fordham University2.110.4%1st Place
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3.73Queen's University1.190.1%1st Place
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3.18Cornell University1.600.2%1st Place
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3.78William and Mary1.200.1%1st Place
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4.25Princeton University0.880.1%1st Place
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3.7George Washington University1.240.1%1st Place
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6.94Penn State University-3.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Cooper | 35.6% | 24.1% | 17.3% | 12.8% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Heather Richardson | 12.2% | 15.7% | 16.2% | 18.5% | 18.2% | 18.5% | 0.7% |
| Hillary Paulsen | 17.7% | 21.4% | 19.7% | 17.1% | 14.5% | 9.4% | 0.2% |
| Derrill Hagood | 12.9% | 13.4% | 15.8% | 17.8% | 21.0% | 18.7% | 0.4% |
| Lucy Cobbs | 8.4% | 10.3% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 20.7% | 29.7% | 1.7% |
| Alex Hitchcock | 13.2% | 15.0% | 16.3% | 18.5% | 18.0% | 18.8% | 0.2% |
| Lauren Thompson | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 2.0% | 96.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.