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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53+8.10vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University3.92+5.79vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.19+3.84vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University4.31+2.40vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.53+7.63vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.62+3.16vs Predicted
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7Brown University4.25-0.47vs Predicted
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8Boston College4.43-2.06vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut2.62+3.73vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.62-1.14vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College4.05-3.52vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.68-3.29vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-4.94vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.70-1.58vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.70-7.34vs Predicted
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17Harvard University4.17-10.09vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire1.81-3.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.1%1st Place
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7.79Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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6.84Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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6.4Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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12.63Boston University2.530.0%1st Place
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9.16University of Rhode Island3.620.1%1st Place
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6.53Brown University4.250.1%1st Place
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5.94Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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12.73University of Connecticut2.620.0%1st Place
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8.86University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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7.48Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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8.71Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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8.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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12.42Bowdoin College2.700.0%1st Place
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8.66Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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6.91Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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14.77University of New Hampshire1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Duffett | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Joseph Morris | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Sean Bouchard | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Mathew Renik | 1.2% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 15.3% | 16.1% | 16.6% |
| Matthew Carmody | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| William Brown | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Anne Haeger | 11.8% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Peter Giuliano | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 13.8% | 19.4% | 15.1% |
| Coleman Bowen | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Matthew Wefer | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Maggie Shea | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Billy Rohman | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 18.5% | 12.5% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 0.8% |
| John Stokes | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Neal Drake | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 8.7% | 17.1% | 46.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.