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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.11+1.40vs Predicted
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2Princeton University0.88+2.18vs Predicted
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3Queen's University1.19+0.78vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.60-0.81vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.24-1.25vs Predicted
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6William and Mary1.20-2.24vs Predicted
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7Penn State University-3.26-0.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.4Fordham University2.110.4%1st Place
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4.18Princeton University0.880.1%1st Place
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3.78Queen's University1.190.1%1st Place
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3.19Cornell University1.600.2%1st Place
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3.75George Washington University1.240.1%1st Place
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3.76William and Mary1.200.1%1st Place
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6.94Penn State University-3.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Cooper | 36.5% | 23.8% | 17.1% | 12.3% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Cobbs | 9.1% | 10.4% | 15.0% | 15.1% | 20.8% | 28.3% | 1.3% |
| Heather Richardson | 11.4% | 14.8% | 16.4% | 18.5% | 20.3% | 18.1% | 0.5% |
| Hillary Paulsen | 18.4% | 20.7% | 17.9% | 19.5% | 13.9% | 9.5% | 0.1% |
| Alex Hitchcock | 11.9% | 15.6% | 17.5% | 15.9% | 19.1% | 19.3% | 0.7% |
| Derrill Hagood | 12.7% | 14.6% | 15.8% | 18.4% | 18.7% | 19.4% | 0.4% |
| Lauren Thompson | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 96.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.