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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.72+8.72vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+8.94vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.10+5.01vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.30+0.18vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.99+3.51vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.88+4.05vs Predicted
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7Tulane University1.73+2.32vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+1.47vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.55-2.96vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.84-0.63vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University1.37+0.16vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.40-4.48vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College1.87-3.93vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.09-2.65vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy1.18-3.14vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston1.81-7.59vs Predicted
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17Tufts University0.69-4.18vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61-4.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.72University of Pennsylvania1.724.9%1st Place
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10.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.603.5%1st Place
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8.01Harvard University2.106.6%1st Place
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4.18Stanford University3.3019.2%1st Place
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8.51Brown University1.995.3%1st Place
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10.05Cornell University1.885.2%1st Place
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9.32Tulane University1.735.0%1st Place
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9.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.634.2%1st Place
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6.04Yale University2.559.5%1st Place
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9.37Bowdoin College1.845.0%1st Place
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11.16Georgetown University1.372.5%1st Place
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7.52Boston College2.408.0%1st Place
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9.07Dartmouth College1.875.2%1st Place
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11.35University of South Florida1.092.6%1st Place
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11.86U. S. Naval Academy1.183.2%1st Place
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8.41College of Charleston1.816.0%1st Place
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12.82Tufts University0.692.5%1st Place
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13.22St. Mary's College of Maryland0.611.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torrey Chisari | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% |
| Emma Snead | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% |
| Cordelia Burn | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 19.2% | 17.1% | 15.2% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Meredith Moran | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% |
| Caroline Benson | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
| Lucy Brock | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% |
| Emma Cowles | 9.5% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Russler | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% |
| Riley Kloc | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
| Gray Hemans | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.8% |
| Ava Farley | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 11.1% |
| Emma Tallman | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 20.0% |
| Lily Flack | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 22.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.