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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.11+1.43vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.60+1.13vs Predicted
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3William and Mary1.20+0.76vs Predicted
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4Queen's University1.19-0.22vs Predicted
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5Princeton University0.88-0.75vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.24-2.29vs Predicted
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7Penn State University-3.26-0.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.43Fordham University2.110.3%1st Place
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3.13Cornell University1.600.2%1st Place
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3.76William and Mary1.200.1%1st Place
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3.78Queen's University1.190.1%1st Place
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4.25Princeton University0.880.1%1st Place
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3.71George Washington University1.240.1%1st Place
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6.94Penn State University-3.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Cooper | 35.0% | 24.8% | 16.9% | 12.3% | 7.7% | 3.2% | 0.1% |
| Hillary Paulsen | 18.8% | 21.0% | 20.3% | 17.0% | 13.9% | 9.0% | 0.0% |
| Derrill Hagood | 11.5% | 14.4% | 17.2% | 19.3% | 19.2% | 17.9% | 0.5% |
| Heather Richardson | 13.1% | 14.0% | 14.7% | 18.5% | 19.9% | 19.1% | 0.7% |
| Lucy Cobbs | 8.4% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 20.8% | 29.9% | 1.6% |
| Alex Hitchcock | 13.2% | 15.0% | 16.3% | 18.2% | 18.0% | 19.1% | 0.2% |
| Lauren Thompson | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 96.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.