← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.30+3.03vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+9.03vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy1.18+8.49vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University1.37+7.18vs Predicted
-
5Brown University1.99+3.38vs Predicted
-
6Boston College2.40+1.31vs Predicted
-
7Cornell University1.88+3.25vs Predicted
-
8University of South Florida1.09+3.42vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University2.10-1.07vs Predicted
-
10Tulane University1.73-0.61vs Predicted
-
11College of Charleston1.81-2.61vs Predicted
-
12Yale University2.55-6.07vs Predicted
-
13St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61+0.18vs Predicted
-
14Bowdoin College1.84-4.59vs Predicted
-
15University of Pennsylvania1.72-4.97vs Predicted
-
16Tufts University0.69-3.09vs Predicted
-
17Dartmouth College1.87-7.84vs Predicted
-
18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-8.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.03Stanford University3.3020.8%1st Place
-
11.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.603.2%1st Place
-
11.49U. S. Naval Academy1.182.8%1st Place
-
11.18Georgetown University1.372.9%1st Place
-
8.38Brown University1.996.1%1st Place
-
7.31Boston College2.407.6%1st Place
-
10.25Cornell University1.883.5%1st Place
-
11.42University of South Florida1.092.7%1st Place
-
7.93Harvard University2.106.8%1st Place
-
9.39Tulane University1.735.0%1st Place
-
8.39College of Charleston1.815.9%1st Place
-
5.93Yale University2.5511.8%1st Place
-
13.18St. Mary's College of Maryland0.611.5%1st Place
-
9.41Bowdoin College1.844.8%1st Place
-
10.03University of Pennsylvania1.724.0%1st Place
-
12.91Tufts University0.692.4%1st Place
-
9.16Dartmouth College1.873.9%1st Place
-
9.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.634.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 20.8% | 17.7% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Snead | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% |
| Ava Farley | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.3% |
| Riley Kloc | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% |
| Katharine Doble | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Meredith Moran | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.3% |
| Cordelia Burn | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Caroline Benson | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Emma Tallman | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% |
| Emma Cowles | 11.8% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lily Flack | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 21.2% |
| Lauren Russler | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% |
| Torrey Chisari | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 19.9% |
| Gray Hemans | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Lucy Brock | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.